Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Two 19-year-olds meet in round three of the outdoor clay court Mutua Madrid Open. 27th seed Joao Fonseca takes on wild card Rafael Jodar and this could well be the start of a great rivalry. Read our match prediction below.
Next up for the winner will be a match against either the 22nd seed Arthur Rinderknech or Vit Kopriva.
Joao Fonseca is in round three of this Masters tournament for the first time. The past couple of years have seen him lbe beaten in round two. He hasn't had to set foot on court yet this week. After a bye into round two, his scheduled opponent Marin Cilic withdrew from their match.
Fonseca has already reached clay court quarter-finals in Monte Carlo and Munich this year and is 29th in the live rankings.
He faces a tough match here as Spanish wild card Rafael Jodar has won ten of his 11 clay court matches played this year.. He won the Marrakech title and then made it to the last four in Barcelona last week.
Jodar is up to a career-high 36th after beating Jesper de Jong (after losing the first set) and then fifth seed Alex de Minaur.
We tip Jodar to win this.
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Joao Fonseca v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.06 | 1.76 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.06 | 1.7 |
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2.06 | 1.7 |
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Who will win the Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar match is: Rafael Jodar wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar game on 26/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Joao Fonseca has a 39.89% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.12.
- Rafael Jodar has a 60.11% probability of winning facing Joao Fonseca ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Shangrila.
Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Joao Fonseca has a 39.89 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | 39.89 % |
| Rafael Jodar | 60.11 % |
Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar Form
Joao Fonseca and Rafael Jodar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Joao Fonseca - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Jodar has a 10-1 clay court record this year.
- Jodar won the Marrakech title this year and then reached the semi-finals in Barcelona.
- Jodar beat fifth seed Alex de Minaur in the last round for the loss of only four games.
- Including last year's results. Jodar has won 17 of his last 20 clay court matches.
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Our Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Rafael Jodar is closing in on being seeded at Roland Garros this year. He has won all bar one of his 11 clay court matches this year with one ATP Tour tite being landed in Marrakech. He only lost four games in round two here as he beat fifth-seeded Alex de Minaur.
Joao Fonseca is only seven places above his opponent in the live rankings but has lost four of his ten clay court matches this year.. He has reached two quarter-finals on this surface in 2026. Our Joao Fonseca v Rafael Jodar prediction is Rafael Jodar wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
