Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Last year saw Lorenzo Musetti get to the semi-finals of the Mutua Madrid Open. The sixth seed can move into the last eight of this outdoor clay court tournament with a fourth round victory over 11th-seeded Jiri Lehecka. Read our match prediction below.
This year has already seen him reach one outdoor hard court final in Hong Kong and the quarter-finals of the Australian Open. He suffered an injury in the latter but has had some good results since returning to the tour.
Musetti was a quarter-finalist in Barcelona last week and has won both of his matches here in straight sets. A win over Hubert Hurkacz was followed by the Italian defeating Tallon Griekspoor. He trails Lehecka 2-1 in previous meetings but won their only match played on clay.
JirI Lehecka was a semi-finalist in Madrid two years ago. He has had a good year on outdoor hard courts and was the runner-up in the Miami Masters. This is his first time past round three on clay this year.
He had to come from a set down to defeat Alejandro Tabilo in round two. It was smoother progress in the third round as he beat Alex Michelsen in straight sets. We tip more than 21.5 games here.
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Jiri Lehecka v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.31 | 1.61 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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Who will win the Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 28/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jiri Lehecka has a 50.96% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 49.04% probability of winning facing Jiri Lehecka ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.
Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jiri Lehecka has a 50.96 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | 50.96 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 49.04 % |
Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
29 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
25 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami
11 Feb 2022 - ATP Rotterdam
Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Two of the three previous matches between these two players saw more than 21.5 games played.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in three of Lehecka's last five matches.
- Museti has played more than 21.5 games in both of his matches this week.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Lehecka has played at least one in eight of his last 11 matches.
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Our Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti has had a stop start year due to injury. When he has been fit, the Italian has been in good form and a win here will take him into his fourth quarter-final of the year. Two of those will have been on clay.
Jiri Lehecka is also going well this year with one final reached. That was on a hard court and this is his first last 16 on clay this year. He leads Musetti 2-1 in previous meetings and two went to a third set. Our Jiri Lehecka v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is more than 21.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.