Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Tennis Predictions
After their Cincinnati Open Round of 16 rumble in August, World No. 3 Jessica Pegula and 17th-ranked Sorana Cirstea lock horns again, this time in the US Open fourth round at Louis Armstrong Stadium this evening. Pegula has won her previous three meetings with Sorana Cirstea by at least a four-game margin. With Cirstea struggling against players ranked in the top five this year, our prediction backs Pegula to win and cover the handicap.
Jessica Pegula fell short of what would have been a third WTA title this year after a heartbreaking defeat to World No. 4 Coco Gauff in the Cincinnati Open final in August. However, it appears the 11-time WTA champion has waved aside that setback with the US Open crown now in sight.
She survived Leylah Fernandez's early scare, rallying from a five-game deficit in the opening set to defeat the Canadian 1–6, 6–4, 6–3 in the third round on Friday. That result saw her improved to a remarkable 8–1 record in her last nine matches.
Sorana Cirstea dispatched former World No. 4 and Italian sensation Jasmine Paolini in 76 minutes in the third round, winning 6–3, 6–3. However, she has lost her previous three meetings with Jessica Pegula by at least four games.
The four-time WTA champion has also lost all six of her meetings with top-five players in 2026. Six of her last seven defeats have come by at least four games.
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Jessica Pegula v Sorana Cirstea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.31 | 3.25 |
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1.35 | 3.33 |
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1.34 | 3.28 |
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1.34 | 3.28 |
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1.34 | 3.28 |
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea match is: Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea game on 06/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 71.28% chance to win against Sorana Cirstea according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Sorana Cirstea has a 28.72% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 71.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 71.28 % |
| Sorana Cirstea | 28.72 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Form
Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open
23 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
22 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
20 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open
19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
15 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jessica Pegula - Sorana Cirstea Key Points
- Jessica Pegula has won eight of her last nine matches.
- Jessica Pegula has won her previous three meetings with Sorana Cirstea, each by at least four games.
- Sorana Cirstea has lost all six of her meetings with players ranked in the top five in 2026.
- Six of her last seven losses have come by at least four games.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction
Jessica Pegula has not only dominated her previous meetings with Sorana Cirstea, but has also covered the handicap in all of them. An impressive run of eight wins in nine matches also puts her on a stronger footing here.
Meanwhile, Sorana Cirstea faces her biggest challenge at the event so far in this contest. She hasn't won any of her previous six meetings with opponents ranked in the top five this year and has failed to cover the handicap in most of her recent losses. Our Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea prediction : Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.