Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 3 USA
Jessica Pegula
06/09/2026 16:40
WTA 17 Romania
Sorana Cirstea

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Tennis Predictions

After their Cincinnati Open Round of 16 rumble in August, World No. 3 Jessica Pegula and 17th-ranked Sorana Cirstea lock horns again, this time in the US Open fourth round at Louis Armstrong Stadium this evening. Pegula has won her previous three meetings with Sorana Cirstea by at least a four-game margin. With Cirstea struggling against players ranked in the top five this year, our prediction backs Pegula to win and cover the handicap.

Jessica Pegula fell short of what would have been a third WTA title this year after a heartbreaking defeat to World No. 4 Coco Gauff in the Cincinnati Open final in August. However, it appears the 11-time WTA champion has waved aside that setback with the US Open crown now in sight. 

She survived Leylah Fernandez's early scare, rallying from a five-game deficit in the opening set to defeat the Canadian 1–6, 6–4, 6–3 in the third round on Friday. That result saw her improved to a remarkable 8–1 record in her last nine matches.

Sorana Cirstea dispatched former World No. 4 and Italian sensation Jasmine Paolini in 76 minutes in the third round, winning 6–3, 6–3. However, she has lost her previous three meetings with Jessica Pegula by at least four games. 

The four-time WTA champion has also lost all six of her meetings with top-five players in 2026. Six of her last seven defeats have come by at least four games.

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Jessica Pegula v Sorana Cirstea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.31 3.25
1xbet
1.35 3.33
Melbet
1.34 3.28
Betwinner
1.34 3.28
22bet
1.34 3.28
Check all Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea odds

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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea match is: Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea game on 06/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Jessica Pegula has a 71.28% chance to win against Sorana Cirstea according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • Sorana Cirstea has a 28.72% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.

Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 71.28 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jessica Pegula71.28 %
Sorana Cirstea28.72 %

Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Form

Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea Last Matches

Jessica Pegula Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Leylah Fernandez

2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Sofia Kenin

30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Elena-Gabriela Ruse

23 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

22 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

20 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Amanda Anisimova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Sorana Cirstea Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Jasmine Paolini
0 :  2
Sorana Cirstea

2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Diane Parry
0 :  2
Sorana Cirstea

31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Julia Grabher
0 :  2
Sorana Cirstea

19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

15 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sorana Cirstea
2 :  0
Nikola Bartunkova

5 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Sorana Cirstea
0 :  2
Maya Joint

Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

100 %

Sorana Cirstea

0 %

19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction

Jessica Pegula - Sorana Cirstea Key Points

  1. Jessica Pegula has won eight of her last nine matches.
  2. Jessica Pegula has won her previous three meetings with Sorana Cirstea, each by at least four games.
  3. Sorana Cirstea has lost all six of her meetings with players ranked in the top five in 2026.
  4. Six of her last seven losses have come by at least four games.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea Prediction

Jessica Pegula has not only dominated her previous meetings with Sorana Cirstea, but has also covered the handicap in all of them. An impressive run of eight wins in nine matches also puts her on a stronger footing here. 

Meanwhile, Sorana Cirstea faces her biggest challenge at the event so far in this contest. She hasn't won any of her previous six meetings with opponents ranked in the top five this year and has failed to cover the handicap in most of her recent losses. Our Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea prediction : Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula –3.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.