Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fresh from winning her second title of the season, Jessica Pegula will be up against Katie Boulter at the WTA Madrid Open. Playing as fifth seed here, Pegula opens her campaign in the second round, meeting Boulter for the third time. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Pegula just bagged her second tour title on clay after emerging the best in Charleston. She beat Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-0 and will be in the running for a second straight title on clay in as many weeks.
An impressive season so far has the American on a 24-4 record and has not failed to reach the quarter-finals in any of her events. Fifth in the live rank, Pegula’s best run here was reaching the 2022 final.
Boulter is on her third Madrid appearance, and she will be looking to progress past the second round for the first time. After beating Taylor Townsend in the first round, Boulter has compiled a 2-2 record in Madrid and improved her season to 14-7.
In half of her eight events this season, the Briton failed to go past the second round. On one occasion when she went through, the 29-year-old proceeded to win a title - in Ostrava.
She will head into this match placed 58th in the live rankings and eyeing a second win over Pegula.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Jessica Pegula v Katie Boulter Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.16 | 5.3 |
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1.17 | 5.1 |
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1.13 | 6 |
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1.12 | 5.4 |
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1.12 | 5.4 |
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter game on 24/04/2026 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 70.29% chance to win against Katie Boulter according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.17.
- Katie Boulter has a 29.71% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 6.1 at Shangrila.
Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 70.29 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 70.29 % |
| Katie Boulter | 29.71 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Form
Jessica Pegula and Katie Boulter Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
4 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
3 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
2 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
1 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
15 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
13 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
6 Apr 2026 - WTA Linz
21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
20 Sept 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
30 Dec 2023 - United Cup
Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter Key Points
- Pegula has reached the quarterfinals in all her events this year.
- Pegula lost a set or more in six of her last 10 matches.
- Boulter has a 4-20 record against top-10 players.
- Pegula advanced past the second round in her last four appearances in Madrid.
- Four times in her last eight events, Boulter failed to go past the second round.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter Prediction
Our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Katie Boulter is for the exact score: 2-1. Pegula’s only losses in the last 15 matches were against Elena Rybakina. She has been able to get past her lower-ranking opponents with dominant displays and will be targeting the same against Boulter.
A two-time title winner this season, she hasn’t finished any tournament this year below the quarter-finals. An accomplished player on clay, we expect her to overcome Boulter, who has had her struggles in early rounds. That win is, however, likely to come in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jessica Pegula vs. Katie Boulter game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Jessica Pegula or Katie Boulter, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
