Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
WTA - WTA Indian Wells
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fifth seed Jessica Pegula takes on 26th seed Jelena Ostapenko in the third round of the BNP Paribas Open. This will be their sixth career meeting but the first since 2023. Read on for our prediction for the match.
Pegula hopes her strong start to the year propels her to a maiden Indian Wells crown. The American, who has lost just twice in 16 outings, is unbeaten in her last six fixtures.
She arrived in California after a triumphant run in Dubai, where she won her first title of the season. A semi-finalist in both of the other tournaments she has contested thus far, Pegula had a shaky start to the week.
Competing in the main draw for a seventh time, the world number five fought her way from 1-0 down to win against Donna Vekic.
Jelena Ostapenko does not have the head-to-head advantage in this fixture, but she has still won twice against Pegula. She will be hoping to come out on top again as she continues to build up her confidence after a poor start to the season.
Ostapenko started the season with just two wins from her first six matches. She has since improved to a 7-6 record and halted her slide down the world rankings.
Currently up to 24th in the live ranking, Ostapenko defeated Katie Volynets in straight sets to set up this showdown with Pegula.
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Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 4.16 |
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1.24 | 4.08 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.2 | 4.2 |
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1.2 | 4.2 |
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko game on 09/03/2026 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 59.96% chance to win against Jelena Ostapenko according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.24.
- Jelena Ostapenko has a 40.04% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 59.96 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 59.96 % |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 40.04 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Jessica Pegula and Jelena Ostapenko Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
21 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
20 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
19 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
18 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
17 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
16 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
13 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
12 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
11 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
10 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
4 Oct 2023 - WTA China Open
Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- The last three meetings between Pegula and Ostapenko were played on hard courts.
- Pegula has defeated Ostapenko three times previously.
- Ostapeko has lost six times so far in 2026.
- Pegula has won six consecutive fixtures.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
Pegula is currently the most in-form player in the WTA. She has lost just twice in 16 outings and comes into this tie on a six-match winning streak. With form alone, she is a shoo-in for a win in this tie, and her chances are significantly strengthened with a head-to-head advantage.
Pegula has defeated Ostapenko three times previously, but their battles have been hard-fought; hence, we see a decider being required. It is also important to remember that both players are comfortable hard-court performers. Our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko is for the exact score: 2-1.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Jessica Pegula or Jelena Ostapenko, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
