Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Miami
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Seventh seed Jasmine Paolini and 25th seed Jelena Ostapenko meet in the third round at the Miami Open. This will be their fifth career meeting, and the winner will play Elina Svitolina or Hailey Baptiste for a place in the quarter-finals. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Ostapenko is competing in Miami for a ninth season. She made it to the final in her second appearance in 2018 but hasn’t been able to produce such heights since and has only made it to the second week of competition once.
The Latvian, who is having a topsy-turvy season, defeated Dayana Yastremska in straight sets in her opening round tie. She has now won eight matches in 2026 and is up to 23rd in the live ranking. Ostapenko’s highlight of the season is a semi-final finish in Doha.
Jasmine Paolini battled through three sets to get past her second-round tie. Facing off with the wildcard Taylor Townsend, Paolini lost 6-1 in the middle set before regrouping to win the decider 6-2.
She has now won eight of 14 matches this season. Paolini’s inconsistencies this term have seen her top 10 status threatened.
Despite making a winning start to her Miami return, the Italian has dropped to eighth in the live ranking. Paolini is defending 390 points won during her run to the semi-finals last season.
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Jelena Ostapenko v Jasmine Paolini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.21 | 1.67 |
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2.23 | 1.65 |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.12 | 1.66 |
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|
2.14 | 1.65 |
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Who will win the Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini game on 22/03/2026 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Jelena Ostapenko has a 51.75% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.23.
- Jasmine Paolini has a 48.25% probability of winning facing Jelena Ostapenko ⭐ with odds of 1.68 at Tonybet.
Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jelena Ostapenko has a 51.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jelena Ostapenko | 51.75 % |
| Jasmine Paolini | 48.25 % |
Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
9 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
16 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
13 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
12 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
28 Feb 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
27 Feb 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
12 May 2025 - WTA Rome
12 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
28 Aug 2023 - WTA US Open
Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Ostapenko and Paolini have each won twice against each other.
- Paolini has won 162 matches on hard courts in her career.
- In her career so far, Ostapenko has won 153 times on hard courts.
- Paolini and Ostapenko have won a combined 12 tour titles.
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Our Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Our prediction for Jelena Ostapenko v Jasmine Paolini is for more than 2.5 sets. Ostapenko and Paolini are well known to each other, having battled four times previously. Each player has won twice in this fixture and at least once on a hard court.
As both are hard-court specialists, we can expect a well-fought-out tie as both players seek to continue in Miami. It is also worth noting that Ostapenko and Paolini are multiple tour champions and have, in previous seasons, produced some strong campaigns in Miami.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
