Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA 17 Italy
Jasmine Paolini
04/07/2026 07:40
WTA 43 Greece
Maria Sakkari

Prediction :

 

Jasmine Paolini wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Jasmine Paolini, the 13th seed at this year’s Wimbledon major, will face the unseeded Maria Sakkari in the third-round. This is their sixth career meeting and the second at a major. Having done well in this round at Wimbledon before, our prediction backs the Italian.

Paolini defeated Viktorija Golubic in the second round in straight sets. The Italian, a former Wimbledon finalist, looked more assured in that match than she had been in the first-round.

She lost the first set by a bagel when she faced off with Robin Montgomery in the opening round. This season has been a tough one for Paolini.

The former world number four has compiled a nervy 14-12 record and has continued to drop further from the WTA top 10. She is currently the WTA’s world number 17.

Sakkari fought through three sets to get the better of Kamila Rakhimova in the last round. The Greek star had started her week in fine form, eliminating 24th seed Clara Tauson in straight sets.

She will be looking to return to that solidity as she seeks to break her third-round hoodoo at the All England Club. Sakkari has never won a third-round fixture at Wimbledon, losing in the four times she has made it this far.

But as she has a head-to-head advantage over Paolini, things could be about to change. Sakkari, who has compiled a 13-13 record, defeated Paolini in Doha back in February for her third win in this fixture.

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Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.76 2.08
1xbet
1.81 2.14
Melbet
1.75 2.08
Betwinner
1.75 2.08
22bet
1.75 2.08
Check all Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari odds

Who will win the Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari match is: Jasmine Paolini wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari game on 04/07/2026 of the current WTA Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Jasmine Paolini has a 51.86% chance to win against Maria Sakkari according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.81.
  • Maria Sakkari has a 48.14% probability of winning facing Jasmine Paolini ⭐ with odds of 2.14 at 1xbet.

Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jasmine Paolini has a 51.86 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jasmine Paolini51.86 %
Maria Sakkari48.14 %

Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Form

Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari Last Matches

Jasmine Paolini Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Viktorija Golubic

30 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Robin Montgomery

23 Jun 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International

Jasmine Paolini
0 :  2
Tatjana María

27 May 2026 - WTA French Open

Jasmine Paolini
1 :  2
Solana Sierra

25 May 2026 - WTA French Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Dayana Yastremska

9 May 2026 - WTA Rome

Jasmine Paolini
1 :  2
Elise Mertens
Maria Sakkari Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Kamilla Rakhimova
1 :  2
Maria Sakkari

30 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Maria Sakkari
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

15 Jun 2026 - WTA Nottingham Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Maria Sakkari

9 Jun 2026 - WTA London - Queen's

Maria Sakkari
0 :  2
Tatjana María

30 May 2026 - WTA French Open

Maria Sakkari
1 :  2
Maja Chwalinska

28 May 2026 - WTA French Open

Maria Sakkari
2 :  1
Claire Liu

Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jasmine Paolini

50 %

Maria Sakkari

50 %

10 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha

Maria Sakkari
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

10 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Maria Sakkari

27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Maria Sakkari
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

21 Feb 2024 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Maria Sakkari
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Prediction

Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari Key Points

  1. Paolini has defeated Sakkari twice previously.
  2. Sakkari has lost a third-round tie four times at Wimbledon.
  3. In her last five fixtures, Sakkari has been defeated three times.
  4. Paolini has won 13 of the last 19 matches she has played on grass.
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Our Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Prediction

Our prediction for Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari is that Jasmine Paolini wins. Two players, who have been inconsistent this season, face off here. Paolini and Sakkari have lost the same or almost the same number of fixtures as they have each won.

Paolini, though, has fared a bit better, especially on grass, and is our best bet to win. She had done so twice previously against Sakkari and is also a former Wimbledon finalist. Sakkari has struggled for quite some time now when competing on grass. She also had suffered most of her defeats at SW19 in the third round.

Prediction :

 

Jasmine Paolini wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.