Japan vs Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship

Rugby Union - Nations Championship

Japan
11/07/2026 06:10
Ireland

Prediction :

 

Ireland –20.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Nations Championship Predictions

A neutral ground McDonald Jones Stadium will host the 2026 Nations Championship Round 2 clash between Ireland and Japan on Saturday. Ireland, sitting nine places above Japan in the world rankings, enter this contest on a five-Test winning streak and boast a dominant head-to-head record against the Brave Blossoms. This is why our prediction favors an emphatic victory for the world's third-ranked side.

Fresh from a terrific finish to the 2026 Six Nations, Ireland have carried their momentum into the Nations Championship. Andy Farrell's side kicked off their campaign with a 33–31 away victory over Australia in Sydney last week, thanks to Sam Prendergast's game-winning conversion.

Last week's result means the four-time Grand Slam winners have won each of their last five Tests stretching back to the Six Nations. They will look to sustain this momentum and continue with their strong start to the tournament.

Japan pulled off a shocker in their Nations Championship opener against Italy. The Brave Blossoms aced both halves, including a 10–0 second-half shutout, to thrash the Italians 27–10. However, they arrive here on the back foot, having lost five of their last seven Tests.

Notably, the Eddie Jones-led team have lost six of their last eight encounters with higher-ranked opposition, with their previous three meetings with Ireland ending in defeat.

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Japan v Ireland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5.75 24 1.1
1xbet
7.5 41 1.09
Melbet
7.5 41 1.09
Betwinner
9 46 1.08
22bet
7.5 41 1.09
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Japan vs Ireland Form

Japan and Ireland Last Matches

Japan
Japan Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Japan
27 :  10
Italy

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Georgia
23 :  25
Japan

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
24 :  23
Japan

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
41 :  10
Japan

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
61 :  7
Japan

25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
15 :  19
Australia
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Japan
27 :  10
Italy

25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
15 :  19
Australia

20 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Japan
27 :  33
Fiji

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
22 :  31
Wales

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matches

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Georgia
23 :  25
Japan

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
24 :  23
Japan

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
41 :  10
Japan

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
61 :  7
Japan

14 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Tonga
24 :  62
Japan

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

England
59 :  14
Japan
Ireland
Ireland Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

England
21 :  42
Ireland

14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
20 :  13
Italy

5 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

France
36 :  14
Ireland
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
20 :  13
Italy

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  24
South Africa

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
46 :  19
Australia

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
41 :  10
Japan
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

England
21 :  42
Ireland

5 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

France
36 :  14
Ireland

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Portugal
7 :  106
Ireland

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Georgia
5 :  34
Ireland

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
17 :  22
Ireland

Japan vs Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Japan

50 %

Draw

0 %

Ireland

50 %

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
41 :  10
Japan

28 Sept 2019 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
19 :  12
Ireland
Japan vs Ireland Prediction

Japan - Ireland Key Points

  1. Japan have lost five of their last seven Tests.
  2. Japan have lost six of their last eight matches against higher-ranked teams.
  3. Ireland have won their last five Tests.
  4. Ireland have won their last three matchups with Japan, the last two by heavy margins.
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Our Japan vs Ireland Prediction

Everything points to what is likely to be a one-sided affair in favor of Ireland. The Andy Farrell-led team will be confident of building on their impressive recent run, with the neutral venue further boosting their chances. 

Moreover, they have been difficult opponents for Japan to crack, winning their last three matchups. With Sakuras struggling for results against higher-ranked teams, we are backing Ireland not only to secure victory, but to do so by a convincing margin. Our Japan vs Ireland prediction : Ireland –20.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Ireland –20.5 handicap points

 
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