Japan vs Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship
Rugby Union - Nations Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Nations Championship Predictions
A neutral ground McDonald Jones Stadium will host the 2026 Nations Championship Round 2 clash between Ireland and Japan on Saturday. Ireland, sitting nine places above Japan in the world rankings, enter this contest on a five-Test winning streak and boast a dominant head-to-head record against the Brave Blossoms. This is why our prediction favors an emphatic victory for the world's third-ranked side.
Fresh from a terrific finish to the 2026 Six Nations, Ireland have carried their momentum into the Nations Championship. Andy Farrell's side kicked off their campaign with a 33–31 away victory over Australia in Sydney last week, thanks to Sam Prendergast's game-winning conversion.
Last week's result means the four-time Grand Slam winners have won each of their last five Tests stretching back to the Six Nations. They will look to sustain this momentum and continue with their strong start to the tournament.
Japan pulled off a shocker in their Nations Championship opener against Italy. The Brave Blossoms aced both halves, including a 10–0 second-half shutout, to thrash the Italians 27–10. However, they arrive here on the back foot, having lost five of their last seven Tests.
Notably, the Eddie Jones-led team have lost six of their last eight encounters with higher-ranked opposition, with their previous three meetings with Ireland ending in defeat.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Japan v Ireland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5.75 | 24 | 1.1 |
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7.5 | 41 | 1.09 |
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7.5 | 41 | 1.09 |
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9 | 46 | 1.08 |
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7.5 | 41 | 1.09 |
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Japan vs Ireland Form
Japan and Ireland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches
20 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
26 Oct 2024 - Test Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
14 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
5 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
5 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
Japan vs Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
28 Sept 2019 - Rugby World Cup
Japan - Ireland Key Points
- Japan have lost five of their last seven Tests.
- Japan have lost six of their last eight matches against higher-ranked teams.
- Ireland have won their last five Tests.
- Ireland have won their last three matchups with Japan, the last two by heavy margins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Japan vs Ireland Prediction
Everything points to what is likely to be a one-sided affair in favor of Ireland. The Andy Farrell-led team will be confident of building on their impressive recent run, with the neutral venue further boosting their chances.
Moreover, they have been difficult opponents for Japan to crack, winning their last three matchups. With Sakuras struggling for results against higher-ranked teams, we are backing Ireland not only to secure victory, but to do so by a convincing margin. Our Japan vs Ireland prediction : Ireland –20.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.