Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Estoril Open
ATP - ATP Estoril Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Unseeded Jesper de Jong makes his debut in the Estoril Open. Round one of this outdoor clay court sees him take on fellow unseeded player Jan Choinski. De Jong won their only previous match on this surface, hence our prediction that he will win this match.
The scheduled second round opponent is top seed Andrey Rublev.
De Jong has slipped down to 98th in the live rankings. That's because he's losing the points earned when reaching the final in Bastad last July. The Dutchman lost in round two there last week. He has a 20-12 clay court record this year with one Challenger Tour title won last month.
He reached round four at Roland Garros this year, beating Karen Khachanov before losing to eventual champion Alexander Zverev.
These two players are 1-1 in previous meetings. De Jong won in straight sets on clay two years ago.
Jan Choinski is also going down the rankings after waving farewell to the points he won when winning a Challenger Tour title last July.
The British player is down at 90th in the live list. He has won two Challenger Tour clay court titles in 2026 but has struggled on the ATP Tour. He's suffered two first round exits on clay and failed to qualify for seven tournaments.
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Jan Choinski v Jesper De Jong Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 1.74 |
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2.09 | 1.74 |
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2.09 | 1.74 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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|
2.06 | 1.7 |
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Who will win the Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong match is: Jesper De Jong wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong game on 21/07/2026 of the current ATP Estoril Open season:
- Jan Choinski has a 55.94% chance to win against Jesper De Jong according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.12.
- Jesper De Jong has a 44.06% probability of winning facing Jan Choinski ⭐ with odds of 1.74 at 1xbet.
Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jan Choinski has a 55.94 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | 55.94 % |
| Jesper De Jong | 44.06 % |
Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Form
Jan Choinski and Jesper De Jong Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
2 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
24 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
22 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
13 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
31 May 2026 - ATP French Open
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
21 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong Key Points
- De Jong beat Choinski in straight sets in their one previous clay court match.
- De Jong reached round four at Roland Garros this year.
- Choinski has failed to get past round one of an ATP Tour clay court tournament nine times this year.
- Only on grass has Choinski gotten past round two of an ATP Tour event this year.
- De Jong is 11 places above Choinski in the ATP Live Race.
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Our Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong Prediction
Between them these two players have won three Challenger Tour clay court titles this year. When it comes to the main ATP Tour though, it is Jesper de Jong who has been getting the better results. He reached a final last year and round four at Roland Garros in 2026.
Jan Choinski has struggled to earn his place in main draws and only on grass courts has he progressed past the second round. De Jong won the only previous clay court match between the pair. Our Jan Choinski v Jesper de Jong prediction is Jesper de Jong wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
