ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Lucky Loser Luca Nardi attempts to reach the last 16 of the 2025 Cincinnati Open. To do so, he must defeat 16th seed Jakub Mensik in this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Can Nardi cause a surprise? Read our match prediction below.
Jakub Mensik has already won one ATP Tour hard court tournament in 2025 winning the title in Miami beating three top ten players.
Two other ATP Tour hard court quarter-finals have been reached this year by Mensik. So far in Cincinnati, he's defeated Ethan Quinn in straight sets, losing only six games. 19-year-old Mensik is a career-high 17th in the live rankings.
The winner of this match will be up against either Hamad Medjedovic or second seed Carlos Alcaraz next.
There's been one previous match between these two players. That was on the hard courts of Miami last year with Mensik winning 6-4 6-2.
The second qualifying round of this tournament saw Luca Nardi beaten by Alexander Blockx. That wasn't the end of the road for Nardi as he was then reinstated into the main draw as a lucky loser.
He got back into winning ways with victories over Augustin Thiago Tirante and then defeated 24th seed Denis Shapovalov after losing the first set.
We tip Mensik to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jakub Mensik v Luca Nardi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.22 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.23 | 4.25 |
|
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Who will win the Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi match is: Jakub Mensik to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi game on 12/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Jakub Mensik has a 68.54% chance to win against Luca Nardi according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Luca Nardi has a 31.46% probability of winning facing Jakub Mensik ⭐ with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jakub Mensik has a 68.54 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | 68.54 % |
| Luca Nardi | 31.46 % |
Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Form
Jakub Mensik and Luca Nardi Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
5 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
8 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
21 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
18 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi Key Points
- Mensik has won one ATP Tour hard court tournament this year.
- Nardi is 86th in the live rankings, just over 70 places below his opponent.
- Nardi has already lost one match in this tournament.
- Mensik won the only previous match between these two players in straight sets and on this surface.
- Nardi has lost five of his last eight ATP Tour matches.
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Prediction
It's already been a good week for Jakub Mensik with a new career-high of 15th set in the live rankings. He showed excellent form earlier in the year when beating three top ten players on his way to winning the Miami Masters and has never lost to Nardi.
Earlier thhis year, Luca Nardi was also a lucky loser in Dubai and went on to reach the last eight. He's struggled with his form since then and again is a lucky loser here. Our prediction for Jakub Mensik v Luca Nardi is Jakub Mensik to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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