Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Bayern Munich look to bounce back from their Champions League loss at Arsenal. They are third in the league phase and on Tuesday are home to eighth-placed Sporting Lisbon. Read our match prediction below.
The German Bundesliga leaders had won all of their matches in this league phase before being beaten at the Emirates. Bayern are now three points off the top of the table but only two above ninth place. A top eight finish will see them go automatically into the last 16. After this game against Sporting, they have another home game against Union Saint-Gllloise before a final fixture away at PSV.
Sporting are in the final automatic qualifying position but only on goal difference. This trip to Bayern will be followed by a home game against defending champions PSG and a trip to Athletic Bilbao. Staying in the top eight looks to be a very difficult task for the Portuguese club.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.2 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.3 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 7 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Bayern Munich leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2025 between Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.65% for a win of Bayern Munich against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 1.24 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon is 16.17% with odds of 7.49 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Bayern Munich with odds of 12.5 at Melbet.
Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 56.65% | 1.24 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.25% | |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 25.23% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 |
|
14
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
31 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
Bayern Munich have won three games in a row since their Champions League loss at Arsenal. Saturday saw them win 5-0 at Stuttgart with Harry Kane scoring a hat-trick. They have now scored 14 goals in their last three league games and lead the Bundesliga by eight points.
Bayern are in excellent form at home.
Home form in this season's Champions League has produced wins over Chelsea and Club Brugge with seven goals scored and just one conceded. Before the defeat by Arsenal, they also won away at Pafos and PSG. Their last home loss was to Inter in last season's Champions League.
Sporting's most recent game saw them draw 1-1 at Benfica. They are second in the Portuguese Primeira League, two points behind Porto. They have won three of their five games in this league phase with only one loss away to Napoli.
Their three wins have all come at home. Their only other away game saw them draw 1-1 at Juventus.
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Bayern Munich against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Urbig
S. Ulreich
DefenderH. Ito
K. Min-jae
R. Guerreiro
T. Bischof
A. Davies
L. Goretzka
N. Jackson
W. Mike
D. Callai
J. Virginia
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
Goncalo Inacio
R. Mangas
S. Blopa
H. Morita
G. Kochorashvili
E. Felicissimo
ForwardF. Ioannidis
R. Ribeiro
F. Goncalves
Missing players
J. Musiala
Bayern Munich & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
Bayern Munich had won their first four games in this league phase before being beaten at Arsenal. The German Bundesliga leaders still have work to do to ensure they go straight into the last 16.
A top eight finish is needed and Bayern are only two points above ninth place. They now have two home games and will be fully expecting to earn six points from those couple of fixtures against Sporting and USG.
They will be missing a few players for this game with Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies both injured. Dayot Upamecano is doubtful and definitely absent will be Luis Diaz who is suspended for this game.
Bayern will be looking for yet more goals from Harry Kane who scoring a hat-trick at the weekend.
Sporting have a difficult run-in.
Sporting are only just in the automatic qualifying positions but will do well to avoid the play-offs. After this game in Munich, they travel to PSG and two losses are likely. Not helping them is the fact Fotis Ionnidis will miss this match,
Doubtful for Sporting are Daniel Bragana and Zeno Debast.
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Sporting Lisbon
H. Kane
(5 Goals)
F. Trincao
(3 Goals)
K. Laimer
(3 Assists)
G. Quenda
(2 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Bayern Munich have won both of their home games in this league phase, scoring seven goals.
- Bayern Munich have won their last three matches, scoring 14 goals.
- Sporting have only earned one point from their two away games in the league phase.
- Each of Bayern's four wins in the league phase have seen them lead at both half and full time.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Bayern Munich have two consecutive home games in this league phase. They should win both of them and that should confirm their place in the last 16. The German Bundesliga club are in excellent form on home soil with goals galore being scored.
It's a tough run-in for Sporting Lisbon and they will find it tough to retain their place in the top eight. They have won three games so far but all have been achieved in Portugal with one point from two away games. Our main Bayern Munich v Sporting prediction is Bayern Munich leads at half and full time.
Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
First half to have most goals scored
15 of the 21 goals scored in Bayern's first five games in this league phase have been scored in the first half.
Of the last five goals scored in Sporting's league phase fixtures, four were scored in the first half.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Sporting Lisbon
| Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.35 | 1.24 | -8.1% |
| Draw | 5.2 | 7.49 | +44.0% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 9 | 12.5 | +38.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.1% and is now 80.6% (6.6%)
Win free tickets to Bayern Munich vs. Sporting Lisbon at Bet365!
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Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon - FAQs
You will need to be a TNT Sports subscriber to watch this game live in the UK. Make a trip to our Champions League livescore for all the latest news from this match. There's live text commentary and updated statistics.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
