Italy vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Women's World Cup Predictions
USA has won every game shown across their last 13 outings, by an average margin of 38.5 points. Ranked first in the world to Italy's 14th, Team USA already beat Azzurre by 34 points in their only previous meeting this year. They meet at the Uber Arena in Berlin, and our Italy vs USA match prediction is USA to win with a -26.0 handicap.
Team USA has been utterly dominant through World Cup qualifying and beyond, beating Senegal by 64, New Zealand by 55, and Puerto Rico by 43. Their tournament opener here was a 33-point win over China. Against a side ranked well below the level Team USA has been routinely beating, you can only expect another big margin win.
Azzurre, meanwhile, has had a solid campaign of their own, beating Puerto Rico by 37 and Senegal by 50. But that was in the March qualifiers. However, their only defeats this year came against the USA, by 34 points, and Belgium, by just 2. Against the outperforming reigning champions, USA, cutting that gap will be a tall order for Italy.
USA's average winning margin this year sits well clear of 26 points, and their only meeting with Italy already cleared that mark.
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Italy v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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13.8 | 1.01 |
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14.8 | 1.01 |
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17.5 | 1.01 |
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Who will win the Italy vs USA Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs USA match is: USA wins with a -26.0 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs USA game on 06/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Italy has a 34.07% chance to pick up the win against USA according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 17.5.
- There is a probability of 65.93% ⭐ for USA to win vs Italy with odds of 1.01 at Roobet.
Italy vs USA Form
Italy and USA's standings in the Women's World Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
2
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Italy and USA Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
24 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
21 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
4 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
2 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
30 Jun 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
28 Jun 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
Italy vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Players list
M. Villa
C. Verona
C. Zandalasini
L. Cubaj
J. Young
C. Gray
K. Copper
B. Stewart
N. Collier
Substitutes
V. Blasigh
F. Pasa
P. Bueckers
S. Citron
C. Clark
R. Howard
A. Boston
K. Iriafen
A. Reese
Italy - USA Key Points
- USA has won all their last 13 games by an average of 38.5 points.
- USA beat Italy by 34 points in their only meeting this year.
- USA is ranked first in the world, Italy 14th.
- USA opened this World Cup with a 33-point win over China.
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Our Italy vs USA Prediction
Italy may be competent on their day, but the quality gap between these two sides is just too large to ignore. And it was on full display in their only meeting this year, when the USA beat Azzurre with a 34-point margin.
What’s more, Team USA, reigning champions and 1st-ranked, have already won every game shown this year by an average of 38.5 points. Hence, our Italy vs USA match prediction is that USA wins with a -26.0 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
