Tip Italy - England
England go into their final match of this 2020 Six Nations Championship in second place. They trail Ireland by just a single point and travel to bottom of the table Italy. A win in Rome won't guarantee them the title but it will keep them in the hunt. A win with four tries will get them a bonus point and mean France would have to match that, while Ireland would need a win and keep their points difference advantage.The Irish have a points difference of 38, while England's is 15. A big win over Italy would heap more pressure on France and Ireland. England lost their opening match to France but since then have beaten Ireland, Scotland and Wales to win the Triple Crown. They have played Italy on 26 previous occasions and won each and every one of them. Results in Italy have been closer overall but the last three have been won by 103 points. A performance like that will give England a chance of winning the title.
Italy have lost all four of their matches so far in this championship. Twice they have even failed to get onto the scoresheet. Overall, 39 points have been scored and a total of 144 conceded. The last time they won a Six Nations match was when they beat Scotland in 2015. Last week saw them play a friendly against Ireland and they lost it 50-1 giving away penalty after penalty. There's little chance of them even getting close to a shock win over England. A bet on England to win on a -26 handicap is the suggested wager.
Key points Italy - England
England have won all 26 games played against Italy.
Their last three wins in Italy have been by an aggregate total of 103 points.
Italy have conceded an average of 36 points a game in this championship and failed to score in two of their four fixtures.
Conclusion Italy - England
England have rallied well since that loss to France in the first week of the Six Nations championship. Wins have come against Scotland, Ireland and Wales and now they face Italy. They have plenty of work to do if they are to win the title. A win in Italy looks almost certain and would win them the title if France drew with Ireland (it's happened before so who knows?). A positive result in Paris though would see England needing a win and a bonus point and plenty of points on the pitch. That's likely up against a poor Italian team. Go for England to win this on a -26 handicap.
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Italy England Prediction published on October 29, 2020