Inter Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
For the 186th time, Inter Milan will be facing off with AS Roma in the Italian Serie A. This one is a key game not just for the competing sides but also in the context of the title race and the top four. Inter Milan plays host at their iconic San Siro Stadium in Milan. In case you are looking to bet on this match, we have below the analysis, team forms, and two predictions to guide you.
Both Inter and Roma must have welcomed the timing of the international break to strategize their season's remainder. Inter had gone winless in four straight matches while Roma were on a shaky run, winning just three of their last 10 outings.
Upon return, Inter will hope to extend their recent run against Roma, which stands at nine wins in 11. Roma too will have their plans intact, as their two wins in that 11-game period were registered at the San Siro.
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Inter Milan v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.98 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.85 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Roma?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Roma match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Inter Milan and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.55% for a win of Inter Milan against Roma with odds of 1.66 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Roma is 29.81% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Inter Milan with odds of 6.3 at Betwinner.
Inter Milan - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 56.55% | 1.66 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.77% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 71.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 28.55% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Inter Milan vs Roma Form
Inter Milan and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
87 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 |
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
Inter Milan and Roma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
23 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2 Feb 2026 - Serie A
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
Inter Milan vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Feb 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
6 May 2023 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Roma: Form Analysis
Inter Milan are in the chase for their 21st Italian Serie A title. Despite their recent struggles, they remain top favorites to claim the championship. Before heading for the international break, Inter had failed to win any of their last three matches.
They lost to archrivals AC Milan 1-0 before drawing back-to-back with Atalanta and Fiorentina. That run and their draw with Como in the Coppa Italia semis have the Nerazzurri on a four-game winless stretch. Here though, they have the perfect chance to bounce back, having not lost any of their last eight matches at home. They won six in that run.
For the first time since 2023, Inter Milan have gone winless in three league games.
Roma brought to a halt their own five-game winless run before heading into the international break. They beat struggling Lecce 1-0 to strike back to winning ways. That found them eliminated from the Europa League and dealing with losses to Genoa and the in-form Como.
I Giallorossi will still feel there’s more to do, having won just three in their last 10 matches. Their run away from home is even poorer, as they come here winless in eight of 10 and having lost five in that run. They did win in two of their last three visits to San Siro, though, against Inter Milan.
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Inter Milan against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Di Gennaro
J. Martínez
DefenderM. Darmian
S. De Vrij
M. Cocchi
MidfielderP. Sucic
A. Diouf
H. Mkhitaryan
D. Frattesi
ForwardF. Esposito
A. Bonny
Luis Henrique
P. Gollini
G. De Marzi
DefenderK. Tsimikas
Angelino
D. Ghilardi
J. Ziolkowski
N. El Aynaoui
B. Zaragoza
ForwardS. El Shaarawy
L. Venturino
R. Vaz
Missing players
Y. Bisseck
C. Augusto
M. Kone
ForwardE. Ferguson
Inter Milan & Roma Squad Analysis
Inter Milan’s best news is that after the international break, Lautaro Martinez returns. The skipper has been out since February and will be keen to make up for lost time. Marcus Thuram will be among the happiest to see the Argentine back, as Martinez brings out the best in the Frenchman.
Not everyone will have a happy return here, though. Alessandro Bastoni has attracted the ire of Italian fans after his contribution in Italy’s failed World Cup qualification bid. With Yan Bisseck injured, Bastoni must rise up to the occasion and give Inter fans something to cheer about.
Thuram has scored twice in the last three meetings with AS Roma.
AS Roma forward Donyell Malen will be watching with keen interest the struggle in the Inter defence. The Dutchman has been a revelation at the capital since his arrival from Aston Villa in January. He has scored seven times for Roma and will be a sure starter here, as Artem Dovbyk and Paulo Dybala are still out recovering.
Brazilian defender Wesley Franca, who has been linked with a move to Arsenal, adds to Roma’s woes after picking up an injury on international duty.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Roma
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(17 Assists)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
Inter Milan - Roma Key Points
- Seven goals were scored in Inter Milan’s last five matches.
- Roma scored once in each of their last three league games.
- Each of these teams’ last three meetings had one goal scored.
- Only one of the last six meetings between these sides had 3+ goals.
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Our Inter Milan vs Roma Prediction
Both Roma and Inter Milan have been known to be mean defensively this season. We expect an extension of that here, as both need a win but not at the cost of going all out. Even with the Inter Milan skipper returning, we don’t envision a lot of change in the low-scoring nature of this game.
Inter haven't been scoring a lot, and the same applies to Roma. At the same time, their recent head-to-head records haven't had a lot of goals. Our prediction for Inter Milan v Roma is for less than 2.5 goals.
Inter Milan vs Roma Alternative Predictions
Inter Milan wins
Inter Milan have dominated this fixture even though a few mishaps have been recorded here and there. Playing at home and boosted by Lautaro Martinez’s return, Inter Milan looks well placed to add to Roma’s woes. Our second prediction, therefore, is for Inter Milan to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Roma
| Inter Milan vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 1.72 | 1.66 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 4.2 | +7.1% |
| Roma wins | 5.57 | 6.3 | +13.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 60.2% (2.1%)
Inter Milan vs Roma - FAQs
This match will be played on Sunday 5th April.
This match will be staged at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
