South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Universidad de Chile carry a slim lead to the return leg of their Copa Sudamericana tie against Independiente. The two are set to clash on Thursday, hosted by Independiente, who trail 1-0, and below we have a prediction of the match.
Lucas Assadi’s first-half goal is what separates these sides at the moment. Independiente will rightly feel they can take control of this tie, backed by home fans.
That, however, will call for a big improvement from the hosts, having failed to win a game in the last six. It is a different story in the Copa Sudamericana, though, as they have four wins in the last six matches. Also, in the same competition, they won each of the last three at home.
Universidad will seek to hold onto their slim advantage. After their home win in the first leg, they fell 3-1 to Audax at Estadio Nacional, and spirits will not be as high. The visitors are playing here courtesy of a third-place finish in Group A of the Copa Libertadores.
They suffered two defeats in the tight group and aren’t carrying a great away run into this match. Universidad de Chile lost five times in their last eight away games, while in the same period they managed just two wins. In their last four away continental matches, the Chilean side is winless in the last three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Independiente v U. De Chile Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 3.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.4 | 6.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Independiente and U. De Chile?
Our prediction for the Independiente vs U. De Chile match is: Independiente wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2025 between Independiente and U. De Chile in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.32% for a win of Independiente against U. De Chile with odds of 1.62 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Independiente vs U. De Chile is 20.01% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.67% chance ⭐ for a win of U. De Chile vs Independiente with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Independiente - U. De Chile Prediction and Best Odds:
| Independiente U. De Chile Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente wins | 43.32% | 1.62 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.06% | 1.57 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: U. De Chile / Full-time: Independiente | 17.27% | 26 at Bet365 |
Independiente vs U. De Chile Form
Independiente and U. De Chile Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
1 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jun 2025 - Copa Argentina
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
4 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
28 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
4 Aug 2025 - Chilean Primera División
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
5 Jul 2025 - Chilean Primera División
15 Jun 2025 - Chilean Primera División
8 Jun 2025 - Copa Chile
Independiente vs U. De Chile Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
Independiente against U. De Chile Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
N. Freire
Most goals and assists
Independiente
U. De Chile
G. Avalos
(10 Goals)
L. Di Yorio
(13 Goals)
S. Montiel
(4 Assists)
L. Assadi
(6 Assists)
Independiente - U. De Chile Key Points
- Universidad de Chile lost five of their last eight away matches.
- Six times in their last 10 home matches, Independiente emerged winners.
- Universidad de Chile are winless in the last three away matches in continental action.
- In their last three Copa Sudamericana home matches, Independiente won.
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Our Independiente vs U. De Chile Prediction
Independiente haven't been in great form as they go into this game, but there is a feeling they will rise here. Playing at home has mostly been rewarding for Independiente. They’ve suffered just two defeats at home in the last 10 matches.
Universidad de Chile may feel like they can take advantage of Independiente’s recent form. However, their own away run isn’t great, and it will be tough here considering Independiente have a good run at home. Our prediction for Independiente v Universidad de Chile is that Independiente wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Independiente U. De Chile
| Independiente vs U. De Chile | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente wins | 1.6 | 1.55 | -3.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 | +5.6% |
| U. De Chile wins | 5.75 | 7 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Independiente is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 64.5% (2.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Independiente vs. U. De Chile game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Sudamericana! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
