Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Sixth seed Lorenzo Musetti takes on unseeded Hubert Hurkacz in round two of the Mutua Madrid Open. The seed will want to go deep again in this outdoor clay court tournament after being a semi-finalist last year. Here's our match prediction.
The winner will play either 29th seed Tallon Griekspoor or unseeded Damir Dzumhir in round three.
Lorenzo Musetti has had a difficult year so far. It began well with a final in Hong Kong and last eight in the Australian Open. Then the Italian was injured and missed all of February. This is his third clay court tournament of the year.
After losing in round two in Monte Carlo, the 24-year-old was a quarter-finalist in Barcelona last week. These two players are 2-2 in previous meetings. Musetti won the only match played on this surface. That was five years ago and Hurkacz retired in that match.
Hubert Hurkacz is 57th in the live rankings, 46 places below his opponent. The Pole was part of the team that won the United Cup this year, winning four of his five singles matches. He hasn't built on that though and is yet to get past round three in a singles event in 2026.
Round one of this tournament saw him beat Jaume Faria in straight sets.
We tip Musetti to win this match.
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Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.32 | 1.55 |
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2.32 | 1.55 |
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Who will win the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Lorenzo Musetti wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 24/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Hubert Hurkacz has a 46.57% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.62.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 53.43% probability of winning facing Hubert Hurkacz ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at Betwinner.
Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hubert Hurkacz has a 46.57 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | 46.57 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 53.43 % |
Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
7 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Musetti was a semi-finalist here last year.
- Hurkacz is yet to get past round three of an ATP Tour singles tournament in 2026.
- Musetti is 46 places above Musetti in the live rankings.
- Musetti was a quarter-finalist in Barcelona last week.
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Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti was a semi-finalist here last year. He's defending the points earned and as a result has dropped out of the world's top ten. He is making steady progress since returning from his injury and made it to the quarter-finals in Barcelona last week.
Hubert Hurkacz has had good form on clay and was the losing finalist in Geneva last year. He has struggled for consistency in 2026 and is yet to make it past round three of a singles event in 2026. Our Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Lorenzo Musetti wins.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Hubert Hurkacz or Lorenzo Musetti, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.