Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 96 Poland
Hubert Hurkacz
24/04/2026 05:00
ATP 16 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Sixth seed Lorenzo Musetti takes on unseeded Hubert Hurkacz in round two of the Mutua Madrid Open. The seed will want to go deep again in this outdoor clay court tournament after being a semi-finalist last year. Here's our match prediction.

The winner will play either 29th seed Tallon Griekspoor or unseeded Damir Dzumhir in round three.

Lorenzo Musetti has had a difficult year so far. It began well with a final in Hong Kong and last eight in the Australian Open. Then the Italian was injured and missed all of February. This is his third clay court tournament of the year.

After losing in round two in Monte Carlo, the 24-year-old was a quarter-finalist in Barcelona last week.  These two players are 2-2 in previous meetings. Musetti won the only match played on this surface. That was five years ago and Hurkacz retired in that match.

Hubert Hurkacz is 57th in the live rankings, 46 places below his opponent. The Pole was part of the team that won the United Cup this year, winning four of his five singles matches. He hasn't built on that though and is yet to get past round three in a singles event in 2026.

Round one of this tournament saw him beat Jaume Faria in straight sets.

We tip Musetti to win this match.

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Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.5 1.53
Betwinner
2.4 1.58
Bet365
2.5 1.53
Roobet
2.32 1.55
BC Game
2.32 1.55
Check all Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti odds

Who will win the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Lorenzo Musetti wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 24/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has a 46.57% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.62.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 53.43% probability of winning facing Hubert Hurkacz ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at Betwinner.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hubert Hurkacz has a 46.57 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Hubert Hurkacz46.57 %
Lorenzo Musetti53.43 %

Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Hubert Hurkacz and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches

Hubert Hurkacz Last matches
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jaime Faria
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Ethan Quinn
2 :  0
Hubert Hurkacz

5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Martin Landaluce
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Marton Fucsovics

25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Taylor Fritz

Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Hubert Hurkacz

100 %

Lorenzo Musetti

0 %

7 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  3
Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Musetti was a semi-finalist here last year.
  2. Hurkacz is yet to get past round three of an ATP Tour singles tournament in 2026.
  3. Musetti is 46 places above Musetti in the live rankings.
  4. Musetti was a quarter-finalist in Barcelona last week.
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Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti was a semi-finalist here last year. He's defending the points earned and as a result has dropped out of the world's top ten. He is making steady progress since returning from his injury and made it to the quarter-finals in Barcelona last week.

Hubert Hurkacz has had good form on clay and was the losing finalist in Geneva last year. He has struggled for consistency in 2026 and is yet to make it past round three of a singles event in 2026. Our Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is Lorenzo Musetti wins.

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction