Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Hellas Verona returns from the international break with a home match against fellow strugglers Fiorentina in the Italian Serie A. These two are in the bottom five, making this a key game in the relegation matrix. Read on to find our prediction.
Verona have gone nine points adrift of safety heading into this game. They lost 1-0 to Atalanta before the international break, their 18th league defeat of the season. No team has lost more in the league this season.
With three wins so far, Verona have only won more than bottom-placed Pisa. Meanwhile, only two sides have scored less than Verona’s 22 goals in the league.
Fiorentina drew 1-1 with Inter Milan after coming from a goal down in their last outing. Hitting 29 points, they opened up a two-point gap from the bottom three.
Having spent a better part of the season in the red zone, La Viola have been the most improved among the relegation-threatened sides. They’ve scored 35 times; that’s at least 10 times more than any side below them.
This has also boosted their goal difference, but crucially for their confidence, they’ve won six of their last 10 games and only lost twice in that period. Away to Verona in the last 10 matches, the Tuscans won six times.
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Hellas Verona v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.25 | 2.12 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.14 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.14 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.1 | 2.04 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina match is: Fiorentina wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.35% for a win of Hellas Verona against Fiorentina with odds of 4.19 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina is 14.15% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 63.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona with odds of 2.13 at 888Starz.
Hellas Verona - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hellas Verona Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 63.5% | 2.13 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.43% | 2.41 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 32.96% | 5 at Bet365 |
Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Form
Hellas Verona and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
|
19
|
21 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 |
Hellas Verona and Fiorentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
6 Feb 2026 - Serie A
26 Jan 2026 - Serie A
15 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
19 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 May 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2023 - Serie A
27 Feb 2023 - Serie A
Hellas Verona against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
G. Toniolo
S. Perilli
DefenderN. Valentini
T. Slotsager
F. Cham
D. Bradaric
P. Lirola
MidfielderA. Harroui
T. Suslov
C. Niasse
M. Al-Musrati
ForwardD. Mosquera
A. Sarr
Isaac
L. Lezzerini
O. Christensen
DefenderE. Sadotti
L. Balbo
E. Kouadio
E. Kospo
D. Rugani
N. Trapani
M. Brescianini
L. Deli
J. Fazzini
R. Piccoli
R. Braschi
Missing players
A. Bella-Kotchap
MidfielderS. Serdar
S. Lovric
A. Sabiri
Most goals and assists
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
G. Orban
(7 Goals)
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
G. Orban
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Bernede
(2 Assists)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
Hellas Verona - Fiorentina Key Points
- Verona are winless in nine of their last 10 games, losing seven.
- Fiorentina have six wins in their last 10 away matches at Verona.
- Verona suffered six defeats in their last seven home league matches.
- Fiorentina won five of their latest seven away games in all competitions.
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Our Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction
With every matchday in Serie A, Verona seem to be sinking deeper towards relegation. They are currently nine points adrift of safety, having just suffered their 18th league loss of the season. No other team has lost that many games in Serie A.
Fiorentina have spent most of the season in the bottom three, but things seem to be looking up for them. They plan on opening a five-point gap from the relegation zone, and in their current form, they are likely to get three points here. Our prediction for Hellas Verona v Fiorentina is that Fiorentina wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hellas Verona Fiorentina
| Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona wins | 4.4 | 4.19 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.3 | -12.7% |
| Fiorentina wins | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 46.9% (-5.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
