Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Two struggling sides of the Bundesliga 2025-26 season will be on view on matchday four when Hamburg host Heidenheim on Saturday. This match at Volksparkstadion between the 17th-placed Die Rothosen (one point) and the 18th-placed Heidenheim (zero points) comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Hamburg have just one point from their campaign so far (D1, L2), while the visitors are yet to win a single point (L3). Both teams trail the safety zone by a point and need a win to make a move up the table.
The hosts were humbled 5-0 at Bayern Munich last weekend, which came on the back of a 2-0 defeat to St. Pauli on matchday two. They remain without a goal in this season, with their lone point coming from matchday one in a 0-0 draw.
Interestingly, the hosts have kept just one clean sheet in their last six competitive home games. Pressure will be on them to improve, as the stakes get higher against a fellow struggling side.
Heidenheim were beaten 2-0 at home by Borussia Dortmund last weekend. That made it two 2-0 losses in a row, following an away loss at Leipzig on matchday two.
They are the only side yet to win a point this season, while their only goal of the campaign came on matchday one at home against Wolfsburg.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hamburg v Heidenheim Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Heidenheim?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Heidenheim match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Hamburg and Heidenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.92% for a win of Hamburg against Heidenheim with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Heidenheim is 11.79% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 63.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Heidenheim vs Hamburg with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
Hamburg - Heidenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Heidenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim wins | 63.29% | 4.2 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.39% | 1.66 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Heidenheim/Heidenheim | 33.34% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Hamburg vs Heidenheim Form
Hamburg and Heidenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 |
|
18
|
5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 |
Hamburg and Heidenheim Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2025 - Bundesliga
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
2 May 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Hamburg vs Heidenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Jun 2020 - 2. Bundesliga
Players list
D. Fernandes
DefenderW. Omari
L. Vuskovic
D. Elfadli
W. Mikelbrencis
M. Muheim
MidfielderN. Remberg
A. Rossing Lelesiit
F. Balde
ForwardA. Sambi Lokonga
R. Glatzel
D. Ramaj
DefenderO. Traore
P. Mainka
M. Busch
J. Fohrenbach
MidfielderN. Dorsch
A. Beck
A. Kolle
S. Schimmer
ForwardS. Conteh
Y. Wagner
Substitutes
D. Peretz
DefenderW. Mikelbrencis
A. Soumahoro
MidfielderA. Sambi Lokonga
J. Meffert
N. Capaldo
ForwardR. Glatzel
A. Rossing Lelesiit
F. Balde
K. Muller
DefenderM. Busch
T. Siersleben
A. Kolle
J. Niehues
A. Beck
N. Rothweiler
ForwardY. Wagner
S. Schimmer
Missing players
J. Torunarigha
MidfielderB. Jatta
F. Feller
DefenderL. Paqarada
ForwardM. Pieringer
B. Zivzivadze
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Heidenheim
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
L. Scienza
(3 Goals)
M. Muheim
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Capaldo
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Remberg
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Vieira
(1 Assists)
A. Ibrahimovic
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Kaufmann
(2 Assists)
Hamburg - Heidenheim Key Points
- Hamburg are yet to score a goal in this Bundesliga campaign.
- Heidenheim failed to score in their last two Bundesliga matches.
- Two of Hamburg’s last three league games saw under 2.5 goals.
- Heidenheim’s last two Bundesliga fixtures saw exactly two goals scored each time.
- Four of the last five matches between these sides produced fewer than three goals, played between 2020 and 2023 in 2. Bundesliga.
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Our Hamburg vs Heidenheim Prediction
On paper, this is a match neither team can lose. Looking at how Hamburg and Heidenheim both started their campaign, are likely to be in the relegation battle for long. For the hosts, the challenge seems to be in the final third, as they are yet to score even one Bundesliga goal this season. The scoring woes of both teams are likely to continue here, but the reigning 2. Bundesliga champions could turn back the clock and look for some respite.
Heidenheim may continue to struggle, and our Hamburg vs Heidenheim prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Heidenheim
| Hamburg vs Heidenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 1.85 | 1.8 | -2.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Heidenheim wins | 4 | 4.2 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heidenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 23.8% (-1.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Hamburg vs. Heidenheim game!
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Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
