Guinea vs Kenya Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
Guinea and Kenya will face off in Group D of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at 28 September Stadium on Thursday evening. Both sides scored in their opening match in this competition, and our prediction is that they will get on the scoresheet in this one as well.
Guinea enter Matchday 2 in this competition at the bottom of the standings in Group D, having lost their opening match 2-1 to South Africa in Johannesburg on Saturday evening.
The National Elephants recorded 44% possession and 1.19 xG in that match. They created two big chances and had 13 touches in the opposition box. Seydouba Cisse scored their only goal.
The home side are now winless in their last five matches across all competitions (D2 L3). However, they have only lost one of their last six matches on home soil (W1 D4).
Meanwhile, Kenya avoided a massive upset in their first match of these qualifiers by finding an equaliser against Eritrea to salvage a 1-1 draw in Nairobi over the past weekend.
Ryan Ogam netted the all-important goal for the Harambee Stars in that clash. As a team, they had 66% possession, 47 touches in the box, 29 shots, and underperformed their 2.80 xG.
Still, Kenya are now unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions (W2 D2). They have also won three of their last five games against their upcoming opponents.
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Guinea v Kenya Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.24 | 5.69 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.24 | 5.69 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.24 | 5.69 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Kenya?
Our prediction for the Guinea vs Kenya match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2026 between Guinea and Kenya in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.63% for a win of Guinea against Kenya with odds of 1.72 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Kenya is 49.16% with odds of 3.24 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya vs Guinea with odds of 5.9 at Betsson.
Guinea vs Kenya Form
Guinea and Kenya's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Guinea and Kenya Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
15 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2026 - AFCON
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Guinea and Kenya Stats in AFCON
Guinea - Kenya Key Points
- Five of Guinea’s last eight matches ended with both teams scoring.
- Guinea have only failed to score in one of their last five home games.
- Guinea and Kenya recorded 1.19 and 2.80 xG in their last match, respectively.
- Kenya have scored in each of their last five matches ahead of this one.
- The last match between these sides ended in a 3-2 scoreline.
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Our Guinea vs Kenya Prediction
Guinea carried good attacking threat in their opening match against South Africa, but they struggled to contain Bafana Bafana’s attack, and their backline will be put under the microscope once again here.
Kenya arrive in Conakry unbeaten in their last four matches. Despite only scoring once in their last game, the Harambee Stars were impressive going forward, accumulating 2.80 xG, and we feel there will be chances at both ends in this clash. Our Guinea vs Kenya prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
