Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International
ATP - Brisbane International
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Qualifier Pablo Carreno-Busta will be looking to maintain his fine start to 2026 when he takes on Grigor Dimitrov in Brisbane. This will be their eighth career showdown but the first in five years. Below is our prediction for the match.
Grigor Dimitrov will hope to have fully recovered from a recurring shoulder injury to have a strong start to the season. The Bulgarian, a two-time Brisbane champion, had a premature end to last season due to the issue.
Dimitrov only contested 29 matches in 2025 and finished with an 18-11 record. Unable to make a tour final for the first time since 2023, Dimitrov, who started the season 10th in the ATP, would end the year ranked 44th.
The 34-year-old has won four of seven meetings with Carreno-Busta.
Pablo Carreno-Busta has already played twice in Brisbane and has won both fixtures. With this momentum, he will be confident of tying up this long-standing series with Dimitrov.
The Spaniard, who is making his Brisbane debut, defeated Mattia Bellucci in the first round of the qualifiers in three sets. His follow-up fixture lasted far shorter when Arthur Cazaux was forced to retire in the opening set.
Carreno-Busta is competing in his 17th year as a professional. Last season, while competing largely in the Challenger circuit, he won 41 matches and finished the year ranked 93rd in the ATP.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Grigor Dimitrov v Pablo Carreño-Busta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.48 | 2.68 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.62 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.65 |
|
|
1.48 | 2.68 |
|
Who will win the Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: more than 2.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 06/01/2026 of the current Brisbane International season:
- Grigor Dimitrov has a 49.78% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.48.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 50.22% probability of winning facing Grigor Dimitrov ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Grigor Dimitrov has a 49.78 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | 49.78 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 50.22 % |
Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Grigor Dimitrov and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
20 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Davis Cup
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
2 Jun 2017 - ATP French Open
Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Dimitrov and Carreno-Busta have won at least three times each in this fixture.
- Carreno-Busta has won 200 hardcourt fixtures in his career.
- Dimitrov has won over 240 matches on hard courts.
- Carreno-Busta has lost one set already in two outings in Brisbane.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
Our prediction for Grigor Dimitrov v Pablo Carreno-Busta is for more than 2.5 sets. Dimitrov and Carreno-Busta, though meeting for the first time in five years, are well known to each other on the court. They have faced off seven times previously, with each player winning at least three times.
This familiarity should brew an intensely fought fixture, as both players are also hardcourt specialists. It is also worth remembering that Carreno-Busta has the match fitness advantage, while Dimitrov is a former Brisbane champion.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Grigor Dimitrov vs. Pablo Carreño-Busta game!
When you place a bet on the match between Grigor Dimitrov and Pablo Carreño-Busta you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Grigor Dimitrov or Pablo Carreño-Busta, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
