Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Grigor Dimitrov Bulgaria
Grigor Dimitrov ATP 124
30/04/2025 13:30
Gabriel Diallo Canada
Gabriel Diallo ATP 149

Prediction :

 

Dimitrov to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Gabriel Diallo’s campaign at the Madrid Masters continues. The qualifier will be up against Grigor Dimitrov in the fourth round, and the winner will face Lorenzo Musetti or Alex De Minaur. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Dimitrov beat Jacob Fearnley in straight sets in the last round. That win stretched his record for the season to 14-7. It also means he is currently the player with the most wins at this year’s Masters events.

This run has seen Dimitrov reach at least the fourth round in the four Masters events so far. He has only lost once at the fourth round in a Masters event this season.

Diallo was handed a second chance at Madrid as a lucky loser, and he has seized it. For the first time in the season, the Canadian has gone past the second round.

This is also his debut at Madrid, and he has the opportunity to write a great story. He has trounced Zizou Bergs, Kamil Majchrzak, and more recently Cameron Norrie to get here.

In that run, Diallo dropped just two sets. In his tour history, Diallo has ever made just one quarter-final appearance, and that was at an ATP 250 event - Almaty. Being here seeking the same at a Masters event is a pointer to his growth.

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Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Form

Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo Last Matches

Grigor Dimitrov Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Nicolás Jarry

11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Grigor Dimitrov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Valentin Vacherot
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Nicolás Jarry
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov
Gabriel Diallo Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
0 :  2
Borna Ćorić

2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Gabriel Diallo

1 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  0
Chun Hsin Tseng

17 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  1
Yosuke Watanuki

7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo
Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo Key Points

  1. Diallo has six losses in seven meetings with top-20 players.
  2. Dimitrov’s two wins in Madrid have been in straight sets.
  3. Diallo’s last nine matches returned four defeats.
  4. Dimitrov won eight of his last 10 matches.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Diallo is having a superb run after getting the lucky loser ticket. He will have the chance to test himself against a top player, and against such he has really struggled. In his seven matches against top-20 players, the Madrid debutant suffered six defeats.

This is the first meeting on clay he will have with a top-20 player, and it doesn’t favor him a lot. Dimitrov hasn’t had the best of campaigns, but this should end in victory. Our prediction for Grigor Dimitrov v Gabriel Diallo is for Dimitrov to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Dimitrov to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.