Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Gor Mahia are going through tough times and will be hoping the visit of Kakamega Homeboyz eases things. The two sides are set to face off in the 14th round of the Kenyan Premier League. Gor Mahia arrives for the match placed third, a place ahead of Homeboyz, and below we have a prediction for the match.
Gor Mahia have now gone winless in three straight matches since their slim win against Tusker. In that period, they suffered one of their biggest defeats in recent times, a 4-1 home loss to APS Bomet.
The former champions would then fall to bitter rivals AFC Leopards, while most recently they could only draw 1-1 with Bandari.
Desperation is clearly checking in at Gor Mahia, and Kakamega Homeboyz will see this as an opportune moment to strike. The visitors haven't beaten Gor in the last five meetings, though they lost only once in that period.
Heading into this encounter, Homeboyz played out a 2-2 home draw with Shabana, making it two winless matches after earlier drawing 1-1 with KCB.
While the visitors have lost just once in the last six matches, there isn’t much to smile about, having drawn four times in the process. Their away run has been better, with three wins in the last five, though they rarely score more than a goal.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gor Mahia v Kakamega Homeboyz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.06 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.13 | 2.7 | 3.82 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.9 | 3.85 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.77 | 3.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Gor Mahia and Kakamega Homeboyz?
Our prediction for the Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between Gor Mahia and Kakamega Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.8% for a win of Gor Mahia against Kakamega Homeboyz with odds of 2.15 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz is 28% with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Kakamega Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia with odds of 3.9 at William Hill.
Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gor Mahia Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kakamega Homeboyz wins | 41.2% | 3.9 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 76.19% | |
| Both Team To Score | 25% | 2.45 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kakamega Homeboyz | 20.87% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz Form
Gor Mahia and Kakamega Homeboyz's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
|
6
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Gor Mahia and Kakamega Homeboyz Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz Key Points
- Homeboyz’s last five matches averaged 2.4 goals.
- Four of Homeboyz’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
- The last five matches between these sides had under 2.5 goals.
- Only seven goals were scored in Homeboyz’s last four matches.
- Three of Gor Mahia’s last four home matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction
The recent meetings between these two sides have been tight affairs, and seeing goals on both ends has been rare. Kakamega Homeboyz, for example, have failed to score in each of the last three meetings with Gor Mahia.
It is only Gor Mahia who have managed more than a goal in this fixture across the last five meetings. Based on these teams’ recent performances, we expect another close game, highlighted with few goals. Our prediction for Gor Mahia v Kakamega Homeboyz is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gor Mahia Kakamega Homeboyz
| Gor Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 1.91 | 2.1 | +9.9% |
| Draw | 3 | 2.6 | -13.3% |
| Kakamega Homeboyz wins | 4 | 3.9 | -2.5% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kakamega Homeboyz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 25.6% (0.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Gor Mahia vs. Kakamega Homeboyz game!
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Try your luck on this year's Kenyan Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
