Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup
Europe - Champions Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions
Glasgow Warriors are unbeaten in this season's European Rugby Champions Cup. They are in the quarter-finals of this competition for the second successive season and are home to Top 14 club RC Toulon. Find out more in our match prediction below.
The Warriors are having an excellent season as they are also top of the United Rugby Championship. With them being in a good run of form and having home advantage, they will be hopeful of making it into the last four.
RC Toulon are three times European champions winning the title in successive years between 2013 and 2015. They have also made it to the final of the European Challenge Cup on five occasions. That win in 2023 is the only time they have lifted that trophy. They finished second in their pool in this season's ERCC but the Red and Blacks are not going too well in Top 14 this season.
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Glasgow Warriors v RC Toulonnais Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.3 | 23 | 3.77 |
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1.23 | 26 | 4.49 |
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1.22 | 26 | 4.33 |
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1.22 | 20 | 4.1 |
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1.22 | 20 | 4.1 |
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Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais Form
Glasgow Warriors and RC Toulonnais Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
30 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
24 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
30 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
18 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
24 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Top 14
21 Dec 2025 - Top 14
Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
15 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup
19 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup
19 May 2023 - Challenge Cup
Glasgow Warriors - RC Toulonnais: Form Analysis
Glasgow Warriors were one of only three clubs who won all four of their games in the pool stages. The Warriors finished eight points clear of Stade Toulousain to qualify for the last 16 and earn home draws.
RC Toulon are familiar opponents for Glasgow. The two sides met in the final of the 2022-23 Challenge Cup with the French side coming out on top. Glasgow will hope to get some revenge for that defeat this weekend.
Glasgow are so strong at home
They also beat Saracens at home in the pool stage with away wins at Sale and Clermont. The last 16 of this competition saw them beat Bulls 25-21 at home last weekend. They are top of the United Rugby Championship, winning 11 out of 14 games and all eight of their home fixtures.
RC Toulon finished in second place in their pool, two points behind Bath Rugby. Three of their four games were won, the only defeat being an away loss to Edinburgh. They will want a better result than that in this latest trip to Scotland.
Finishing second in their pool gave Le RTC a home draw in the last 16. They had a tough match last weekend, only beating Stormers by a single point. In Top 14 this season. Toulon are currently 11th in the table and seven points behind the final play-off position with four of their last five games lost.
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Players list
Substitutes
Glasgow Warriors & RC Toulonnais Squad Analysis
Glasgow Warriors have made just two changes from the squad that won last weekend. Scrum half George Horne was injured against Bulls and he has been replaced in that position by Ben Afshar. Their replacement bench has been rotated with Max Williamson not starting this game.
Jack Oliver, who has not played in this competition is on the bench. They will be looking for another strong performance from outside centre Stafford McDowall who won the player of the match award in that win over Bulls.
Their coach Franco Smith is well aware of the danger their opponents will bring to this match. He has placed particular emphasis on how physical their forward pack is and the strength of their back line.
RC Toulon are struggling at present.
RC Toulon would love to have this game being played on French soil. They have won eight home games in Top 14 this season but lost the same number on their travels. It isn't a short-term problem as they recorded a 3-0-10 record in Top 14 last season.
One away game has been won in this competition this season. Last week's one point home win over Stormers and recent losses at struggling USA Perpignan by 16 points and a 46-27 home defeat by Stade Francais Paris indicates they are really struggling at present.
Glasgow Warriors - RC Toulonnais Key Points
- Glasgow have won all ten of their home league and cup games this season.
- Glasgow are top of the United Rugby Championship.
- Glasgow won all four of their games in the pool stages.
- Toulon have lost eight of their ten away games in Top 14 this season.
- A form guide for the last ten games in Top 14 has Toulon one from bottom.
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Our Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais Prediction
Glasgow Warriors have only lost one of their last 13 league and cup fixtures. That was an away loss at Connacht and they have won three games since then. On home soil, they have won all of their eight games in this season's URC and three in this competition.
RC Toulon's win last weekend was a welcome victory after a run of four losses and a draw. Their away form is poor with only one away victory at Gloucester in this season's ERCC. Our main Glasgow Warriors v RC Toulon prediction is Glasgow Warriors wins on a -9.5 handicap.
Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais Alternative Predictions
Glasgow Warriors wins
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Glasgow Warriors vs RC Toulonnais - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
