Gibraltar vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Latvia and Gibraltar will have to overcome their recent poor results as they fight for a place in League C of the 2026–27 UEFA Nations League (UNL). This is the first-leg match to be played on Thursday between the hosting ’Los Llanis’ and the visiting ’11 Wolves’, which comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals. The winner of this two-legged tie will play in League C, while the loser will be in League D.
Gibraltar finished second in Group D1 of the 2024-25 UNL competition with an unbeaten record (W1, D3), but one point behind San Marino. Latvia finished bottom of Group C4 with four points (W1, D1, L4) and were ranked top of the four fourth-placed teams to earn a shot at these play-offs.
Gibraltar had a disastrous World Cup qualification campaign where they lost all eight matches and conceded 28 goals. They are on a run of ten consecutive defeats in all competitions and friendlies, although their performance in the UNL campaign was a ray of hope.
Latvia also failed in the World Cup qualifiers, finishing fourth in their group (W1, D2, L5). They now face the onerous task of staying in League C, especially considering their poor away form. The ’11 Wolves’ lost four of their last five away competitive matches, with their lone win coming against Andorra.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Gibraltar v Latvia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.25 | 2.45 | 1.85 |
|
|
8.1 | 4 | 1.47 |
|
|
6.6 | 3.82 | 1.56 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.75 | 1.53 |
|
|
7 | 3.85 | 1.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Gibraltar and Latvia?
Our prediction for the Gibraltar vs Latvia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/03/2026 between Gibraltar and Latvia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.49% for a win of Gibraltar against Latvia with odds of 8.1 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gibraltar vs Latvia is 11.41% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 63.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Gibraltar with odds of 1.85 at Stake.
Gibraltar - Latvia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gibraltar Latvia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Latvia wins | 63.1% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% | 2.34 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Latvia | 31.74% | 4 at Bet365 |
Gibraltar vs Latvia Form
Gibraltar and Latvia Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
1 Sept 2021 - World Cup
Gibraltar against Latvia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
T. Chakraverty
B. Banda
DefenderJ. Ostheider
B. Douah
K. Mauro
E. Llambias
MidfielderL. Scanlon
J. Perera
R. Emrani
ForwardD. Borge
J. Coombes
K. Zviedris
F. Orols
DefenderE. Birka
N. Sliede
V. Jagodinskis
MidfielderD. Melniks
K. Grabovskis
D. Patijcuks
E. Emsis
A. Saveljevs
ForwardD. Sits
M. Regza
Most goals and assists
Gibraltar
Latvia
L. Walker
(2 Goals)
R. Varslavans
(1 Goals)
,
D. Sits
(1 Goals)
,
R. Uldrikis
(1 Goals)
,
V. Gutkovskis
(1 Goals)
,
A. Cernomordijs
(1 Goals)
J. Valarino
(1 Assists)
,
T. De Barr
(1 Assists)
V. Gutkovskis
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ciganiks
(1 Assists)
,
D. Zelenkovs
(1 Assists)
,
R. Savalnieks
(1 Assists)
Gibraltar - Latvia Key Points
- Latvia conceded in five of their last six matches.
- Gibraltar failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 games.
- Gibraltar conceded 3+ goals in five of their last eight World Cup qualifying matches.
- The last two matches between these sides in 2021 World Cup qualifiers ended in 3-1 wins for Latvia.
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Our Gibraltar vs Latvia Prediction
Both Latvia and Gibraltar have had poor World Cup qualification campaigns, which was on expected lines. Latvia had one win and two draws, while Gibraltar were beaten in all their eight games. The focus will now be on remaining in League C for Latvia, but they can’t take Gibraltar easily. The hosts went unbeaten in their four League D games of this competition (W1, D3) with their lone victory coming at home.
Gibraltar could challenge Latvia and find at least a goal, which is why our Gibraltar vs Latvia prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gibraltar Latvia
| Gibraltar vs Latvia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar wins | 7.1 | 8.1 | +14.1% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0% |
| Latvia wins | 1.49 | 1.85 | +24.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Latvia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 54.1% (-13.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Gibraltar vs. Latvia game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
