Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Genoa

17/05/2026 06:00

AC Milan

Prediction :

BTTS: No

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Prediction published on 16/05/2026, 21:04 by Kennedy Kechula | Modified on 17/05/2026 at 08:10 in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan and Genoa hope to return to winning ways in Serie A, with visitors Milan looking to hold onto the fourth spot. Genoa, placed 14th, have secured their league slot but have been struggling in attack, failing to score in the last three games. That, and a clear dip in confidence at AC Milan, who haven’t scored in three of their last four games, backs our prediction for one or both failing to score.

Genoa’s 0-0 draw with Atalanta was enough for their safety, and repeating the same against Fiorentina meant their struggle at the moment is to get goals. Going into their last home game of the season, that is where they will be putting their energies.

In their last nine matches against Genoa, AC Milan are unbeaten, winning five. However, in the last four, they managed just one win.

The reverse meeting ended in a 1-1 draw after Milan scored a 92nd-minute equalizer, and then Genoa missed a 99th-minute penalty. It remains to be seen if this matchup will serve the same drama, as both sides aren’t enjoying great runs.

Milan are looking to avoid a third straight defeat. They are coming off a 3-2 home loss to Atalanta, having also lost to Sassuolo after a goalless draw with Juventus.

The visitors have only scored three goals in the last six matches.

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Genoa v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
5	3.85	1.72
5	3.74	1.7
5	3.76	1.7
5	3.9	1.67
5.2	3.6	1.68

Check all Genoa vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Genoa vs AC Milan match is: BTTS-No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Genoa and AC Milan in Serie A :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.62% for a win of Genoa against AC Milan with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs AC Milan is 16.05% with odds of 3.91 at 888Starz.
Our prediction model gives a 45.33% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Genoa with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.

Genoa - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Genoa AC Milan Prediction	Probability	Odds
AC Milan wins	45.33%	1.76 at 888Starz
Under 2.5	56.33%	1.9 at Roobet
Both Team To Score: No	63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan	19.51%	4.7 at LSbet

Genoa vs AC Milan Form

Genoa and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	+18
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	-10

Genoa and AC Milan Last Matches

Genoa Last matches

All Home Away

L W W L D D

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina

0 : 0

Genoa

2 May 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

0 : 0

Genoa

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 2

Como 1907

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC

1 : 2

Genoa

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 1

Sassuolo

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 0

Genoa

L W W L W L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 2

Como 1907

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 1

Sassuolo

20 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 2

Udinese

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 1

Roma

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

3 : 0

Torino FC

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 3

Napoli

L W L W D D

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina

0 : 0

Genoa

2 May 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

0 : 0

Genoa

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC

1 : 2

Genoa

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 0

Genoa

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

0 : 2

Genoa

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan

2 : 0

Genoa

AC Milan Last matches

All Home Away

L L W D L L

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.5 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 3

Atalanta

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo

2 : 0

AC Milan

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 0

Juventus

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

0 : 1

AC Milan

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 3

Udinese

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

1 : 0

AC Milan

L W W L D L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

33% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 3

Atalanta

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 0

Juventus

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 3

Udinese

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 2

Torino FC

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Inter Milan

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Parma

W W L L W L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo

2 : 0

AC Milan

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

0 : 1

AC Milan

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

1 : 0

AC Milan

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

1 : 0

AC Milan

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese

0 : 2

AC Milan

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC

1 : 2

AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

0 %

Draw

50 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33

Total goals

50%

BTTS

0.83

Goals scored

1.5

Goals conceded

33.33%

Over 2.5

66.67%

Under 2.5

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 1

Genoa

5 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa

1 : 2

AC Milan

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 0

Genoa

5 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 3

Genoa

7 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Genoa

0 : 1

AC Milan

15 Apr 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 0

Genoa

Genoa against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Genoa

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

J. Bijlow

M. Ellertsson

A. Marcandalli

S. Otoa

J. Vasquez

R. Malinovskyi

Amorim

M. Frendrup

T. Baldanzi

Vitinha

L. Colombo

S. Gimenez

C. Nkunku

D. Bartesaghi

A. Rabiot

A. Jashari

Y. Fofana

Z. Athekame

S. Pavlovic

M. Gabbia

F. Tomori

M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Genoa

Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

N. Leali

Defender

M. Doucoure

L. Klisys

W. Ouedraogo

N. Zatterstrom

A. Martin

Amorim 90'

S. Sabelli

Midfielder

J. Grossi

P. Masini

G. Lafont

Forward

J. Ekhator

T. Baldanzi 64'

C. Ekuban

L. Colombo 85'

AC Milan

Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

K. De Winter

F. Tomori 76'

D. Odogu

V. Vladimirov

Midfielder

J. Sardo

S. Ricci

Y. Fofana 68'

L. Modric

R. Loftus-Cheek

A. Jashari 86'

Forward

C. Balentien

C. Pulisic

C. Nkunku 76'

N. Fullkrug

S. Gimenez 68'

Missing players

Genoa

Goalkeeper

E. Lysionok

Defender

B. Norton Cuffy

Forward

J. Messias

AC Milan

Defender

P. Estupinan

Most goals and assists

Genoa

AC Milan

Top Goalscorer

L. Colombo (7 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

R. Leao (9 Goals)

Best assists

A. Martin (4 Assists)

Best assists

A. Rabiot (4 Assists) ,

C. Pulisic (4 Assists) ,

S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Genoa - AC Milan Key Points

Genoa failed to score in their last three outings.
AC Milan scored three times in the last six matches.
Both teams scored in just two of Genoa’s last five games.
In Milan’s last seven away matches, both teams scored once.

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Our Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

AC Milan have all to play for and will hope they aren’t frustrated by a side without much to target. The confirmation of Genoa’s survival means this match is just a formality for them. They have failed to score in three straight league games, signifying the relaxed nature of their run to the final rounds.

Milan have also not scored a lot in their recent matches, largely due to pressure in the top four. They will hope to get the foot back onto the pedal and claim crucial points. The low-scoring trend could continue here, though. Our prediction for Genoa v AC Milan is: BTTS-No.

Prediction :

BTTS: No

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Genoa wins	4.3	5.4	+25.6%
Draw	3.65	3.91	+7.1%
AC Milan wins	1.78	1.76	-1.1%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

AC Milan is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.1% since opening
The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 56.8% (0.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Genoa v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and AC Milan?

Genoa - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Genoa vs AC Milan Form

Genoa and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Genoa and AC Milan Last Matches

Genoa vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Genoa - AC Milan Key Points

Our Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa AC Milan