Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Only goal difference separates Freiburg and Hoffenheim ahead of their matchday five fixture in the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign on Sunday. This match at the Europa-Park-Stadion between the seventh-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the ninth-placed Die Kraichgauer comes with our prediction of a home win with both teams scoring.
Both teams have six points from four Bundesliga matches (W2, L2), and Freiburg are in a slightly better position thanks to their superior goal difference (zero vs minus 2).
Freiburg won 2-1 at home against FC Basel in their first match of the Europa League this week, extending their impressive recent form. The hosts won three matches in a row in all competitions.
The other two have come in the league, where they bounced back since losing on matchdays one and two. The home fans will be gunning for continuing that trend, as Freiburg won their two recent home fixtures.
Hoffenheim are coming off a loss, after a 4-1 drubbing at home by Bayern Munich last weekend. That loss was their second in the last three matches, both coming in the league.
In all competitions, with three wins and two defeats, Hoffenheim have been confusing the analysts with their indifferent play. To add to that, they have been excellent on the road, winning all three of their competitive trips this year.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Hoffenheim Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.45 | 3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Hoffenheim match is: Freiburg win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2025 between Freiburg and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.07% for a win of Freiburg against Hoffenheim with odds of 2.35 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Hoffenheim is 22.22% with odds of 4.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Freiburg with odds of 6.19 at 22bet.
Freiburg - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 39.71% | 6.19 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87.64% | 1.86 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 81.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Hoffenheim/Hoffenheim | 15.38% | 5 at Betfair |
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Form
Freiburg and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
|
12
|
13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 |
Freiburg and Hoffenheim Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2022 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
D. Kyereh
J. Manzambi
V. Gendrey
K. Machida
H. Behrens
O. Kabak
ForwardA. Hlozek
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
V. Grifo
(6 Goals)
F. Asllani
(6 Goals)
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
,
V. Grifo
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
A. Kramaric
(4 Assists)
Freiburg - Hoffenheim Key Points
- In four of Freiburg’s last five competitive matches, both teams scored goals.
- Freiburg won their last three competitive games.
- At home, Freiburg won their last two competitive matches.
- Hoffenheim’s four league matches this season saw both teams scoring goals.
- Hoffenheim lost two of their recent three league fixtures.
- Freiburg won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Hoffenheim with each win seeing BTTS.
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Our Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction
This has been an entertaining season for Freiburg fans so far, with three wins on the run giving them something to celebrate. This sequence of results helped them bounce back from losing on the first two matchdays, although the fixture pile-up could be demanding. Hoffenheim have been equally entertaining, with goals freely flowing in their fixtures. That has also been the case in recent times when these two sides met in the league.
Freiburg will fancy their chances of continuing their run, and our Freiburg vs Hoffenheim prediction is Freiburg win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Hoffenheim
| Freiburg vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.2 | 2.25 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 32.3% (1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
