Freiburg vs Genk Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
Freiburg are at home for the return leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie against Genk. The Germans will hope home advantage counts as they attempt to overturn the tie. The Bundesliga side trails their Belgian opponents 1-0 from the first leg played last week. Read on to find our two predictions for the match, with the winner setting up a quarter-final match against Celta Vigo or Olympique Lyon.
Last week’s showdown at Cegeka Arena was the very first meeting between these two sides. The visitors are now looking to build on the slim win to secure a first quarter-final appearance in Europe in nine years.
Bookies, however, have the hosts as firm favorites going into this match. Their home form in the competition offers a reason why they are thought to be likely winners. The Germans are undefeated in four Europa League matches this season at the Europa-Park Stadion.
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Freiburg v Genk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.1 | 5.65 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.32 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Genk?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Genk match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Freiburg and Genk in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.23% for a win of Freiburg against Genk with odds of 1.6 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Genk is 9.56% with odds of 4.58 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Genk vs Freiburg with odds of 6.36 at 888Starz.
Freiburg - Genk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Genk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 48.21% | 6.36 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.33% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genk | 19.9% | 13 at LSbet |
Freiburg vs Genk Form
Freiburg and Genk Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
8 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
13 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
1 Feb 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
Freiburg vs Genk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
Freiburg - Genk: Form Analysis
Freiburg are struggling and, given their current form, look destined for defeat and elimination. The German side hasn’t won any of the last four matches, losing three times in this period. Freiburg followed up the first leg loss in Genk with another 1-0 defeat in the Bundesliga.
Welcoming Union Berlin this past weekend, Julian Schuster’s men missed the opportunity to close down on a place in Europe. That loss ended an impressive 17-game unbeaten run at home. Freiburg have been eliminated from the Europa League in the round of 16 in their last two appearances at the tournament.
Genk won eight of their latest 11 matches across all competitions.
Genk are looking to see out their first leg advantage and progress to the quarter-finals for the first time in nine years. Nicky Hayn’s men controlled the first match and had 17 attempts on goal, 11 more than their visitors. They will be looking for a similar onslaught in Southwest Germany.
Genk arrive for this match in strong form. After the first leg victory, Royal Racing prepared for the return match with a 1-0 victory over St. Truiden in the Belgian Jupiler League. Genk had won just once before their current two-match winning run, and that dip in form had disrupted a seven-game unbeaten run.
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Freiburg against Genk Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderP. Lienhart
A. Jung
C. Gunter
L. Kubler
N. Hofler
P. Osterhage
D. Scherhant
M. Philipp
C. Irie
L. Holer
L. Brughmans
H. Van Crombrugge
DefenderY. Medina
A. Palacios
M. Sadick
MidfielderJ. Ito
Y. Sor
N. Sattlberger
J. Steuckers
A. Yokoyama
R. Mirisola
J. Erabi
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Freiburg & Genk Squad Analysis
Maximilian Eggestein was sent off in the first leg and will not be available for the hosts. While Eggestein is a defensive player, he has had a touch in attack that will be missed here. The German has three goals this season.
Noah Atubolu has kept four clean sheets for Freiburg and will be key in the bid to stay in Europe. Vincenzo Grifo and Igor Matanovic have combined for 19 goals and will be crucial for Freiburg’s ambitions here.
Four of Yuito Suzuki’s six goals served as match openers.
Mujaid Sadik missed the weekend game for Genk due to illness and could be forced to sit out this game as well. The defender was introduced for the final minutes in the first leg against Freiburg. Zakaria El Ouahdi will be out of this match due to suspension.
It is a big blow, as he has netted four goals in the EL, including the winner in the reverse leg. Meanwhile, Genk have kept four clean sheets in the EL, with Tobias Lawal responsible for two of those.
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Genk
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
D. Heymans
(4 Goals)
, 
Z. El Ouahdi
(4 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
K. Karetsas
(4 Assists)
Freiburg - Genk Key Points
- In their last four games, Genk kept three clean sheets.
- Freiburg have failed to score in three of their last four games.
- Only one goal was scored in the first leg meeting between these two.
- Freiburg have only once in their last 10 home matches conceded more than one goal.
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Our Freiburg vs Genk Prediction
Our prediction for Freiburg v Genk is for less than 2.5 goals. The first leg match between these two sides was a low-scoring affair with only one goal being scored. We feel the chances of another low-scoring game are high, as both teams have been among the best defensive sides in the EL this term.
Freiburg have conceded just five goals all campaign, while Genk, who have allowed seven, have attempted the most tackles. The hosts’ struggles up front recently also do a heavy job in swaying us towards an under 2.5 goals outcome. Freiburg have been blunt in attack lately and have failed to score in three of their last four fixtures.
Freiburg vs Genk Alternative Predictions
Genk wins
In our second prediction for this match, we are picking Genk to win. Genk arrive for this match in better form than their hosts, who haven’t won in four games and have lost three times in this period.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Genk
| Freiburg vs Genk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.61 | 1.6 | -0.6% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.58 | +14.5% |
| Genk wins | 5.8 | 6.36 | +9.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.2% and is now 15.7% (-1.5%)
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Freiburg vs Genk - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 19 March.
This match will be played at Freiburg’s Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg, Germany.
Fans in Belgium can watch this game live on RTBF, Telenet, BeTV and VRT while in Germany, it will be aired on RTL and Sky. Detailed updates of the game and for other UEL matches this week will be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
