Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
ATP - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Fresh from winning the Buenos Aires title, Francisco Cerundolo is now the top seed in the Rio Open. He begins this outdoor clay court tournament with a first round match against unseeded Mariano Navone. Time for our match prediction.
Round two will see the winner take on either Cristian Garin or Thiago Agustin Tirante, both unseeded.
Cerundolo was in great form in Buenos Aires, winning four matches and not dropping a single set. Wins included beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry and world number 21 Luciano Darderi in the final.
The 27-year-old has won seven of his nine matches this year.and he's 18th in the live rankings.
2025 saw Cerundolo reach four ATP Tour clay court semi-finals and he was runner-up in Buenos Aires.
Mariano Navone is 1-1 in previous meetings with Cerundolo, both played on clay. He lost their most recent match played in Bastad last year 6-3 6-3. The 24-year-old also played in Buenos Aires last week but was beaten in round two and is 73rd in the live list.
That was his fourth loss in five matches played in 2026. Last year saw him win two clay court Challenger Tour titles but in only one clay court tournament did he make it past the second round. We tip Cerundolo to win in straight sets.
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Francisco Cerundolo v Mariano Navone Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 2.87 |
|
|
1.43 | 2.83 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.39 | 2.8 |
|
|
1.39 | 2.8 |
|
Who will win the Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone match is: Francisco Cerundolo wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone game on 17/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Francisco Cerundolo has a 71.51% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
- Mariano Navone has a 28.49% probability of winning facing Francisco Cerundolo ⭐ with odds of 2.95 at Shangrila.
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francisco Cerundolo has a 71.51 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | 71.51 % |
| Mariano Navone | 28.49 % |
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Form
Francisco Cerundolo and Mariano Navone Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
6 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Cerundolo is 55 places ahead of Navone in the live rankings.
- Cerundolo won the title in Buenos Aires last week without losing a set.
- Cerundolo beat Navone in straight sets in their last match.
- Navone has lost four of his five matches this year.
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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction
Francisco Cerundolo was in top form in his first clay court tournament of the year. The last three years have seen him reach two semi-finals and a quarter-final in Rio. Another deep run looks likely if he plays as he did when winning last weekend's Buenos Aires title.
He won his last match against Mariano Navone in straight sets. A similar result looks on the cards here with his opponent struggling for form with just one win in 2026. Our Francisco Cerundolo v Mariano Navone prediction is Francisco Cerundolo wins in straight sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
