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Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Umag Open

ATP - ATP Umag Open

ATP 131 Italy
Francesco Passaro
22/07/2025 09:30
ATP 59 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Third seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli starts his Croatia Open campaign in Umag. He faces unseeded Francesco Passaro for a place in the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Here's our match prediction.

Carabelli reached the last eight of last week's ATP clay event played in Bastad. That was a welcome return to form for the 26-year-old who had lost five successive matches before that tournament, two being on clay.

He is 51st in the live rankings and has won one clay court Challenger Tour event this year. The semi-final in Bastad was his third in ATP Tour clay court events in 2025.and he has a 25-13 record on this surface in 2025.

Francesco Passaro beat wild card Matej Dodig in round one of this tournament but had to come from a set down. He's now 118th in the live rankings. 

He has a 20-10 record on clay this year but most of his success has come on the Challenger Tour with four quarter-finals and a semi-final. Only once on the ATP Tour has he reached round three.

There's been one previous meeting between these two players. That was on clay in 2022 with Passaro winning in three sets. We believe Carabelli can get his revenge here and will win this match. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Francesco Passaro v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.91 1.91
William Hill
1.95 1.85
Betway
1.95 1.85
Ladbrokes
1.91 1.83
Unibet
1.93 1.87
Check all Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
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Who will win the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 22/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:

  • Francesco Passaro has a 56.1% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.96.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 43.9% probability of winning facing Francesco Passaro ⭐ with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.

Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francesco Passaro has a 56.1 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Francesco Passaro56.1 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli43.9 %

Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Francesco Passaro and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Francesco Passaro Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open

Matej Dodig
1 :  2
Francesco Passaro

17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Francesco Passaro
0 :  2
Jerome Kym

15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Arthur Rinderknech
0 :  2
Francesco Passaro

13 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Francesco Passaro
2 :  0
Gonzalo Bueno

12 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Francesco Passaro
2 :  0
Mika Brunold

9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany

Francesco Passaro
0 :  2
Alex Molcan
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Jesper De Jong

18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Christian Garin

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Marcos Giron
3 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

23 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Ethan Quinn
Compare Francesco Passaro and Camilo Ugo Carabelli with our comparison tool.

Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. Carabelli was a quarter-finalist in last week's ATP Tour clay event played in Bastad.
  2. Passaro had to come from a set down to beat a wild card in round one.
  3. Carabelli is 67 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
  4. Passaro has only once reached round three of an ATP Tour clay court event in 2025.
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Our Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli saw an improvement in his form when returning to clay courts last week. He made it to the last eight in Bastad and a win here will take him into his second successive quarter-final.

He faces Francesco Passaro who had a difficult first round match and had to come from behind to get the win. Passaro is well below his opponent in the rankings and has been inconsistent on the ATP Tour this year. Our Francesco Passaro v Camilo Ugo Carabell prediction is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.

Prediction :

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
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