ATP - ATP Umag Open


New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli starts his Croatia Open campaign in Umag. He faces unseeded Francesco Passaro for a place in the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Here's our match prediction.
Carabelli reached the last eight of last week's ATP clay event played in Bastad. That was a welcome return to form for the 26-year-old who had lost five successive matches before that tournament, two being on clay.
He is 51st in the live rankings and has won one clay court Challenger Tour event this year. The semi-final in Bastad was his third in ATP Tour clay court events in 2025.and he has a 25-13 record on this surface in 2025.
Francesco Passaro beat wild card Matej Dodig in round one of this tournament but had to come from a set down. He's now 118th in the live rankings.
He has a 20-10 record on clay this year but most of his success has come on the Challenger Tour with four quarter-finals and a semi-final. Only once on the ATP Tour has he reached round three.
There's been one previous meeting between these two players. That was on clay in 2022 with Passaro winning in three sets. We believe Carabelli can get his revenge here and will win this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Francesco Passaro v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|
![]() |
1.91 | 1.91 |
|
![]() |
1.95 | 1.85 |
|
![]() |
1.95 | 1.85 |
|
![]() |
1.91 | 1.83 |
|
![]() |
1.93 | 1.87 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Who will win the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 22/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:
- Francesco Passaro has a 56.1% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.96.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 43.9% probability of winning facing Francesco Passaro ⭐ with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francesco Passaro has a 56.1 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Francesco Passaro | 56.1 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 43.9 % |
Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Francesco Passaro and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
12 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Carabelli was a quarter-finalist in last week's ATP Tour clay event played in Bastad.
- Passaro had to come from a set down to beat a wild card in round one.
- Carabelli is 67 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Passaro has only once reached round three of an ATP Tour clay court event in 2025.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Francesco Passaro vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
Camilo Ugo Carabelli saw an improvement in his form when returning to clay courts last week. He made it to the last eight in Bastad and a win here will take him into his second successive quarter-final.
He faces Francesco Passaro who had a difficult first round match and had to come from behind to get the win. Passaro is well below his opponent in the rankings and has been inconsistent on the ATP Tour this year. Our Francesco Passaro v Camilo Ugo Carabell prediction is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Francesco Passaro vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Francesco Passaro and Camilo Ugo Carabelli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's ATP Umag Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake