2024 African Nations Championship (played in 2025) Predictions & Betting tips
2024 African Nations Championship presentation and predictions
The summer will conclude with one of Africa's most unique international tournaments in the 2024 African Nations Championship, also known as CHAN. First held in 2009, this edition was due to take place last year but was ultimately pushed to mid-2025 due to scheduling difficulties.
It takes place in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda from 02 August to 31 August with the final being held at the Moi International Sports Centre in Nairobi, Kenya. So, what's the difference between this tournament and the African Cup of Nations? Well, to be able to play in the African Nations Championship, players must be signed up to an African team. That means the 19 countries that have qualified for the finals won't be able to field any of the many African players who ply their trade in other parts of the world.
The reigning champions are Senegal, who won their first title with a 5-4 penalty shootout victory over Algeria in 2022. Prior to that, Morocco had won two championships in a row in 2018 and 2020. They were gearing up for a three-peat, but the Moroccans decided to withdraw their U-23 squad from the tournament just days before the start date due to increasing tensions with neighbors and host nation Algeria.
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Morocco made international news when they pulled their team from the tournament just prior to the start of the 2022 edition. The two-time champions are back this year though, and you can be certain that they will be eager to reclaim their crown from the Senegalese after missing out on the chance to win a third straight title.
Morocco in particular have two things going for them ahead of this tournament. First, they have arguably the best youth setup in African football, while Senegal is certainly in that conversation as well. What Morocco has that Senegal doesn’t, however, is a much more competitive domestic league. Morocco's Botola Pro is up there with the Egyptian Premier League as the two best African leagues at the moment, according to the latest CAF five-year ranking.
These are going to be two crucial factors for this competition, as the squads will be made up of players that are currently playing in each nation’s home leagues. While the odds are yet to be released, Morocco is our early pick to be crowned champions for a third time.
Our 2024 African Nations Championship prediction: Morocco champions!
Beginners Guide - how does the 2024 African Nations Championship work?
19 countries have qualified for these 2024 African Nations Championship. DR Congo were initially set to be disqualified for this tournament after reportedly fielding an ineligible player. Their spot was set to go to Equatorial Guinea, although a successful appeal by the DR Congo football federation means the two-time champions will take part in the 2024 CHAN. Libya and Tunisia were also supposed to take part in this tournament but ultimately withdrew. There will be plenty of excitement behind one of the host nations Kenya, who are making their debut in this tournament.
There are four groups in total - Groups A, B and C contain five teams each, while Group D contains four teams. The top two teams from each group advance to the quarter-finals, which then proceeds as a standard knockout tournament structure. They are played as single-leg elimination matches including the final. There is an additional play-off match which determines the third-place finisher.
It promises to be an exciting tournament and you can follow all of it on Sportytrader.
Our tips for correctly predicting matches and betting on the 2024 African Nations Championship?
When you place bets on the 2024 African Nations Championship, it is important to take certain factors into consideration. The ones our betting experts recommend the most are listed below. Follow these and your chances of betting success will be increased:
- Check the form of the two teams playing
- Be aware of the form of the key players
- Know the team line-ups
- Look at previous results
- Study the tactics of each team
- Recognise the importance of the match
By taking each of these factors into account when analyzing an African Nations Championship match, you'll be able to form an accurate opinion on the outcome. Read on to find out more about each of these tips!
Check the form of the two teams playing
This is important but remember there will be plenty of team changes from the usual sides fielded by the participating nations. Pay close attention to the early games to see which countries are playing well and in with a good chance of winning the 2024 African Nations Championship.
Know what the form the key players are in
Again, do some research. Look through the squads that the countries name and look to see how they have been playing in recent matches. Who's scoring goals, who has been putting on good defensive performances and which players haven't been doing as well as might be expected. Identifying each team's key players is crucial - it's a good idea to look through the confirmed squads before the tournament starts and single out which players can make the difference.
Know the team line-ups
Make sure you follow the team news. It's so frustrating if you place a bet on a team and then afterwards discover that key players aren't going to be on the pitch. In this sense, it can be advantageous to wait until just before kickoff to place your bet. You will gain additional information about the exact players and formation that the managers have chosen to implement. If both teams line up in 4-3-3 formations with their top attacking players? It could mean a higher-scoring match is in store. Did both managers park the bus with 5-4-1 formations and with some key players missing? A close, low-scoring game could then be on the cards. You will most often find lineup infromation posted one hour prior to kickoff. Use this to your advantage!
Look at previous results
With this competition having different qualification rules for who can play, it is important to look back at previous African Nations Championships. For example, Morocco have won two of the last three tournaments and major countries such as Cameroon, Ghana and Nigeria have never won the African Nations Championship.
Study the tactics of the two teams
How do the coaches of each team plan to approach their upcoming match? Will they be going all-out to get a win or play a careful game and perhaps even settle for a draw? It's also important to study and analyse the playing styles of each nation. Mauritania, for example, tend to employ a more safe, defensive-minded system, while a nation such as DR Congo prefers a high-pressing style which focuses on opening up space for their pacey wingers to take advantage of. This can lead to a more open match, which has a higher potential for goals. Studying these dynamics will give you a better understanding of what to expect, and how to best adapt your bets.
How important is the match?
This won't apply to the early group matches but will for the last one played. A country may have already qualified for the knockout stages so may opt to leave out some key players. Alternatively, a country may have already been eliminated and decides to make changes and blood some inexperienced or fringe players. This can affect the result, just take into account the French loss to Tunisia in the 2022 World Cup when they rested players for their final group game.
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Stats you need to know for the 2024 African Nations Championship
It is also important to take a close look at the statistics for a major competition such as the African Nations Championship. Below are key stats taken from the most recent edition, the 2022 CHAN (played in 2023).
- Average goals: 2.00 goals per game
- +0.5 goals: 81%
- -0.5 goals: 19%
- +1.5 goals: 44%
- -1.5 goals: 56%
- +2.5 goals: 41%
- -2.5 goals: 59%
- +3.5 goals: 22%
- -3.5 goals: 78%
- +4.5 goals: 9%
- -4.5 goals: 91%
- Goal timing distribution: 76-90 minutes (27%)
- First half goals: 47%
- Second half goals: 53%
- “Both teams to score: Yes”: 22%
- Average shots per match: 21.86 shots
- Most frequent score: 1-0 or 0-1 (37.5% of matches)
- Correct score 0-0: 18.6% of matches
- Wins by 2 goals or more (handicap): 34.4% of matches
- Wins by one goal: 14 out of 32 game
- Half time most common score: 0-0 (48.3% of matches)
There are some very interesting statistics to take note of in the most recent edition of the African Nations Championship. By looking at these numbers, you can get a good gauge on the style of play in this competition. Note the low average total goals number (just 2.00) as well as the extremely low BTTS frequency (22%). This data tells us that matches in this tournament are often heavily focused on the defensive side with goals hard to come by (59% under 2.5).
This is something you will want to keep in mind when placing your 2024 CHAN bets. Note how many matches were decided by just a single goal in 2022 as well as nearly half of them finishing goalless at the break. This could open up an avenue for some 'half-time draw/full-time win' type of bets, which will often pay quite well when using that combination.
In short: how to make the right predictions on 2024 CHAN matches?
Thanks to the information you have been given on this page, you are now ready to make your football predictions on the 2024 African Nations Championship.
Don't forget to study each match in depth, using the key statistics, and to follow the best practices recommended by our experts.
Of course, you can also take the easy way out and take advantage of the many free African Nations Championship betting tips offered by our experts. They're 100% free, so you can place reliable bets without worrying. Good luck to you!
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