Derby County vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
03/11/2026 14:45
Norwich

Prediction :

 

Norwich wins

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions

Norwich travel to Pride Park to face struggling Derby County in the Championship on Tuesday. The Rams are winless in their last nine league matches and host a Norwich side that has won back-to-back league games, hence our prediction in favor of the visitors.

Derby suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at Millwall on Saturday, marking their sixth loss in nine league games. That result left them with just seven points from 13 Championship matches, deepening their relegation worries.

The Rams have won just once in the league all season and have been particularly poor at Pride Park. They are winless in their last eight competitive home matches dating back to last season and have conceded 10 goals in their last four outings.

Norwich came from two goals down to beat Watford 3-2 at Carrow Road on Saturday, with Ben Chrisene, Anthony Musaba and Paris Maghoma all on target. That win took Norwich to 15 points, eight clear of Derby.

That made it back-to-back league wins for the Canaries, who had lost five in a row before their 3-1 victory at Charlton. They came out on top in the most recent meeting between the two sides in April, winning 2–1, and have won two of their last three trips to Pride Park.

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Derby County v Norwich Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
3.25 3.60 2.07
1xbet
3.26 3.58 2.07
Melbet
3.26 3.58 2.07
Betwinner
3.26 3.58 2.07
22bet
3.21 3.55 2.08
Check all Derby County vs Norwich odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Norwich?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Norwich match is: Norwich wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2026 between Derby County and Norwich in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.06% for a win of Derby County against Norwich with odds of 3.35 at Roobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Norwich is 18.92% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Derby County with odds of 2.14 at Tonybet.

Derby County vs Norwich Form

Derby County and Norwich's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Norwich
15 13 5 0 8 -1
23 Derby County
7 13 1 4 8 -14

Derby County and Norwich Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  1
Derby County

24 Oct 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  1
Derby County

17 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Stoke

14 Oct 2026 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Derby County

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Wrexham

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Stoke

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Wrexham

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Birmingham

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
West Brom

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  1
Derby County

24 Oct 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  1
Derby County

14 Oct 2026 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Derby County

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County
Norwich
Norwich Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  2
Watford

24 Oct 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Norwich

17 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Portsmouth

14 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Southampton

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Norwich

20 Sept 2026 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  4
Bolton
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  2
Watford

17 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Portsmouth

14 Oct 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Southampton

20 Sept 2026 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  4
Bolton

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Birmingham

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Burnley
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Norwich

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Norwich

17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
5 :  0
Norwich

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  3
Norwich

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Norwich

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Norwich

Derby County vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

17 %

Draw

33 %

Norwich

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Derby County

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Norwich

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Norwich

10 Apr 2021 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Norwich

3 Oct 2018 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Norwich
Derby County vs Norwich Prediction

Derby County vs Norwich last Lineups

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
22
M. Johnston
24
R. Nyambe
14
J. Robinson
26
R. Hedges
8
B. Clark
4
D. Ozoh
19
H. Meister
11
S. Szmodics
10
R. Brewster
9
C. Morris
30
M. Kvistgaarden
49
A. Musaba
25
P. Maghoma
11
A. Brooks
26
S. Field
16
J. Wright
14
B. Chrisene
33
J. Cordoba
15
R. McConville
3
J. Stacey
32
D. Grimshaw

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Norwich

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

S. Duffy

I. Gordon

Midfielder

O. Fraulo

F. Bilbija

A. Mowatt

Forward

M. Fuseini

C. Blackett-Taylor

L. Salvesen

Norwich
Norwich
Goalkeeper

V. Kovacevic

Defender

H. Darling

D. Yongwa

K. Fisher

L. Mahovo

Midfielder

A. Slimane

M. Topic

Forward

J. Makama

A. Crnac

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

C. Forsyth

C. Taylor

M. Clarke

D. Murkin

E. Cashin

S. Langas

Midfielder

L. Travis

Forward

P. Agyemang

Norwich
Norwich
Midfielder

P. Maghoma

M. Topic

G. Forsyth

Forward

M. Toure

A. Ahmed

P. Diallo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Norwich
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (3 Goals) , 
England B. Clark (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia M. Toure (5 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Clark (2 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark M. Kvistgaarden (4 Assists)

Derby County and Norwich Stats in Championship

Derby County
Derby County
Norwich
Norwich
8%
Wins
38%
62%
Losses
62%
31%
Draws
0%
2.77
Average goals per match
3.62
0.85
Goals scored per match
1.77
1.92
Goals conceded per match
1.85
46%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
54%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
8%
No goals conceded
0%
62%
BTTS
69%

Derby County - Norwich Key Points

  1. Derby are winless in their last nine league matches.
  2. Derby are winless in their last eight competitive home matches.
  3. Norwich have won their last two league matches.
  4. Norwich have won two of their last three visits to Derby.
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Our Derby County vs Norwich Prediction

Derby are on a dire run of form and have offered little at home this season. Their leaky defense has shipped 10 goals in their last four matches, and confidence will be low after Saturday's heavy defeat at Millwall.

Meanwhile, Norwich have rediscovered their spark with two straight wins, and their comeback against Watford showed real character. They have also recent success at Pride Park and should have enjoyed enough to take all three points. Our Derby vs Norwich prediction : Norwich wins.

Prediction :

 

Norwich wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.