Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
23/02/2026 12:30
Pisa SC

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

It will be a battle for Serie A survival in the Tuscan derby this Monday, when Fiorentina and Pisa face off. This six-pointer finds Fiorentina 18th in the league standings, six points ahead of their visitors. Read on to find our prediction of the match.

Fiorentina posted a crucial win in their last outing, beating European football-chasing Como 2-1. The win moved them closer to survival, as La Viola now sit three points below safety but with a game in hand and superior goal difference.

The win was only their fourth in the league this season, and they’ll use it as a buildup to the next one. In the reverse match, the two sides played to a 0-0 draw.

Pisa have the fewest wins in the league this season; one. While they’ve been underperformers on their return to the topflight, I Torri have lately, in away matches, proven tough to beat.

They carry into this game a run of seven draws in their last 10 matches on the road. Pisa haven't won any of the matches. They are actually winless away from home this season in all competitions, and no team has drawn as much as Pisa (12).

The visitors have also lost a similar number of games, and the most recent was in the latest outing as they fell 2-1 to AC Milan.

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Fiorentina v Pisa SC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.65 4 5.4
Melbet
1.62 3.94 5.5
Betwinner
1.62 3.94 5.5
Bet365
1.62 4 5.25
Roobet
1.63 3.85 5.2
Check all Fiorentina vs Pisa SC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Pisa SC?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Pisa SC match is: Fiorentina wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/02/2026 between Fiorentina and Pisa SC in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.29% for a win of Fiorentina against Pisa SC with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Pisa SC is 46.54% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Pisa SC vs Fiorentina with odds of 5.72 at 888Starz.

Fiorentina - Pisa SC Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Pisa SC Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 46.54% 4.1 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 55.13% 2 at Stake
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 23.87% 6 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Form

Fiorentina and Pisa SC's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9
20 Pisa SC
18 38 2 12 24 -45

Fiorentina and Pisa SC Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC

27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese
L D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina
Pisa SC
Pisa SC Last matches
D D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

6 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Pisa SC

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  3
Sassuolo

23 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
6 :  2
Pisa SC

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
2 :  2
Pisa SC
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  3
Sassuolo

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

6 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  3
Como 1907

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Juventus

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma
L D D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Pisa SC

23 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
6 :  2
Pisa SC

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
2 :  2
Pisa SC

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC

12 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Pisa SC

Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

0 %

Draw

100 %

Pisa SC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Pisa SC Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
5
M. Pongracic
6
L. Ranieri
65
F. Parisi
27
C. Ndour
44
N. Fagioli
4
M. Brescianini
17
J. Harrison
20
M. Kean
19
M. Solomon
81
F. Stojilkovic
19
S. Iling-Junior
32
S. Moreo
3
S. Angori
35
F. Loyola
6
M. Marin
15
I. Toure
2
R. Bozhinov
4
A. Caracciolo
5
S. Canestrelli
12
Nicolas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Pisa SC

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

P. Comuzzo

Dodo 78'

L. Balbo

D. Rugani

E. Kouadio

R. Gosens

N. Fortini

Midfielder

G. Fabbian

N. Fagioli 88'

J. Fazzini

M. Solomon 77'

P. Bonanno

Forward

A. Gudmundsson

R. Piccoli

M. Kean 86'

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
Goalkeeper

T. Guizzo

A. Semper

Defender

R. Albiol

J. Cuadrado

I. Toure 68'

F. Coppola

A. Calabresi

Midfielder

M. Aebischer

F. Stojilkovic 46'

M. Leris

M. Tramoni

M. Hojholt

Forward

Lorran

E. Akinsanmiro

R. Durosinmi

F. Loyola 46'

H. Meister

S. Iling-Junior 46'

G. Piccinini

S. Moreo 76'

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Midfielder

A. Sabiri

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
Defender

D. Denoon

Midfielder

I. Vural

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Pisa SC
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Moreo (7 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria M. Leris (3 Assists)
France M. Tramoni (3 Assists)

Fiorentina - Pisa SC Key Points

  1. Fiorentina are coming off two wins in their latest outings.
  2. Pisa have suffered three defeats in the last four matches.
  3. In their last 14 league games, Pisa are winless, losing eight.
  4. Fiorentina have posted three more league wins than Pisa.
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Our Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Prediction

This is a battle for survival for the two Tuscan sides. As things stand, Fiorentina are more likely to edge it, coming off two wins in their latest matches. One of those was in Europe, and domestically, they claimed a win against top-six side Como.

This season La Viola haven't won back-to-back home league matches, but they’ll be confident about this one. Pisa are winless in their last 14 matches and lost three of their latest four in the league. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Pisa is that Fiorentina wins.

Prediction :

 

Fiorentina wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Pisa SC

Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.75 1.7 -2.9%
Draw 3.6 4.1 +13.9%
Pisa SC wins 5 5.72 +14.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 13.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 24.4% (-3.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Prediction