Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina and Lecce will face off in Serie A at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in an early-season relegation battle. Winless Fiorentina are 19th going into the match, with Lecce three places ahead. We have a prediction below.
Fiorentina are coming off a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Inter Milan. That meant they’ve gone winless in the opening nine Serie A matches for the first time in their history.
The positive side of things is that they are just a point below safety, and a good win here could lift them to as high as 15th. La Viola scored seven times as they beat Lecce twice last season. How they’d wish for a repeat!
Lecce have avoided defeat in two of their last four meetings with Fiorentina, winning one. From the onset, they were supposed to be relegation candidates, but here they have a chance to rise away.
This match finds them only two points ahead of Fiorentina, and they will see it as a key game in their survival targets.
After a tough outing against Napoli, which they lost 1-0, Lecce will view this as a winnable encounter. They should have pushed Napoli harder but missed a penalty at 0-0.
There are a lot of positives and lessons from that defeat that Lecce hope will guide them to a second win of the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Fiorentina v Lecce Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 3.85 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.14 | 6.29 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match is: draw or Lecce wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Fiorentina and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.09% for a win of Fiorentina against Lecce with odds of 1.79 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Lecce is 25.3% with odds of 4.14 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Fiorentina with odds of 6.29 at 1xbet.
Fiorentina - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 46.09% | 1.79 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.83% | 2.6 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fiorentina/Fiorentina | 19.83% | 2.7 at LSbet |
Fiorentina vs Lecce Form
Fiorentina and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Fiorentina and Lecce Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Fiorentina vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Feb 2024 - Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
17 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
T. Martinelli
L. Lezzerini
DefenderF. Parisi
E. Kospo
E. Kouadio
P. Mari
MidfielderS. Sohm
J. Fazzini
A. Richardson
R. Mandragora
R. Piccoli
A. Gudmundsson
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderC. Kouassi
J. Siebert
C. Ndaba
MidfielderA. Sala
K. N’Dri
S. Pierotti
M. Kaba
T. Helgason
Y. Maleh
F. Camarda
R. Sottil
Missing players
F. Marchwinski
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Lecce
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
Fiorentina - Lecce Key Points
- Fiorentina have suffered three defeats in four home league games.
- Lecce collected four of their six points in away matches.
- Lecce have posted one league win so far in the season.
- Fiorentina remain winless in Serie A this season.
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Our Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction
Last season, Fiorentina lost only three Serie A matches at home. This season they’ve already lost three home league matches in just four outings. The signals are up; it is going to be a tough season, especially at home, where they’ve managed just one point so far.
Lecce hasn't won a lot in this fixture, but here they have genuine reason to go for three points. They’ve done better on the road, and our prediction for Fiorentina v Lecce is a draw or Lecce wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Lecce
| Fiorentina vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 1.68 | 1.79 | +6.5% |
| Draw | 3.83 | 4.14 | +8.1% |
| Lecce wins | 6.34 | 6.29 | -0.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 55.9% (-3.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
