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Finland vs Lithuania Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Finland
09/10/2025 12:00
Lithuania

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in World Cup Predictions

Finland will enter the sixth round of matches in the 2025 World Cup qualifiers with a home match against Lithuania. Playing in Group G, Finland are third with seven points, and Lithuania are fourth on three. We have a prediction for the match below. 

Finland blew a golden opportunity in their 3-1 loss away to Poland. The loss was their third in five matches, and Finland will enter this game in really bad shape.

At home they won their last match, 2-1 against Poland, but that was only a recovery after four straight losses. Having failed to beat Lithuania in the last two meetings will be another stat for the hosts to deal with.

Lithuania are coming into this match without a win in the last 10 matches. The recent five have been somewhat positive, as three ended in draws. In their latest outing, they almost pulled a shock draw with group leaders, the Netherlands.

Lithuania came from 2-0 down to 2-2 in the first half before the Dutch rose to claim three points midway through the second half in a 3-2 win.

One of the three draws they have posted in the last five matches was against Finland at home. Lithuania will be out to better that on the road.

For a side that only failed to score in four of 10 matches, they’ll have the belief.

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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v Lithuania Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.55 3.8 6.5
Betfred
1.57 3.75 6.5
William Hill
1.55 3.5 6.5
Betway
1.55 3.6 5.5
Unibet
1.54 4 6.1
Check all Finland vs Lithuania odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and Lithuania?

Our prediction for the Finland vs Lithuania match is: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/10/2025 between Finland and Lithuania in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.63% for a win of Finland against Lithuania with odds of 1.6 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs Lithuania is 24.41% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Finland with odds of 7.2 at Melbet.

Finland - Lithuania Prediction and Best Odds:

Finland Lithuania Prediction Probability Odds
Finland wins 49.63% 1.6 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 61.45% 2.29 at 22bet
Both Team To Score 60.42% 2.15 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Finland/Finland 25.94% 2.38 at Bet365

Finland vs Lithuania Form

Finland and Lithuania's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Finland
Finland
10 8 3 1 4 -6
5
Lithuania
Lithuania
3 8 0 3 5 -9

Finland and Lithuania Last Matches

Finland
Finland Last matches
W D L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Poland
3 :  1
Finland

4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  0
Finland

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  2
Finland

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  1
Finland
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  2
Greece

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  3
England

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  2
Ireland

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia
L L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Poland
3 :  1
Finland

4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  0
Finland

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  2
Finland

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  1
Finland

14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
1 :  0
Finland

10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland
Lithuania
Lithuania Last matches
L D D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  3
Netherlands

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Malta

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Denmark
5 :  0
Lithuania

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  0
Lithuania

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  2
Finland

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  0
Lithuania
L L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  3
Netherlands

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Malta

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  2
Finland

15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Lithuania
1 :  2
Romania

12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Lithuania
1 :  2
Kosovo

6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Lithuania
0 :  1
Cyprus
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Denmark
5 :  0
Lithuania

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Malta
0 :  0
Lithuania

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  0
Lithuania

18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Kosovo
1 :  0
Lithuania

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Cyprus
2 :  1
Lithuania

9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Romania
3 :  1
Lithuania

Finland vs Lithuania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
2 :  2
Finland
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Finland against Lithuania Lineups: Starting 11

Finland

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

12
V. Sinisalo
17
N. Alho
17
J. Lahteenmaki
21
V. Koski
4
R. Ivanov
7
O. Antman
11
A. Markhiyev
14
K. Kairinen
6
L. Walta
20
J. Pohjanpalo
19
B. Kallman
9
G. Paulauskas
7
A. Dolznikov
15
G. Gineitis
6
M. Vorobjovas
22
P. Golubickas
13
J. Lasickas
2
A. Tutyskinas
4
E. Girdvainis
18
V. Armalas
17
P. Sirvys
12
T. Svedkauskas

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Lithuania

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Finland
CD Huachipato Lithuania
Top Goalscorer
Finland B. Kallman (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Lithuania G. Gineitis (3 Goals)

Finland - Lithuania Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in three of Finland’s last five matches.
  2. Half of Finland’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Six of Lithuania’s last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. Both teams scored in three of Lithuania’s last five matches.
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Our Finland vs Lithuania Prediction

These two nations’ last 10 outings apiece produced just two wins. Both wins were Finland’s, and in one of the 10 matches, the two nations played out a 2-2 draw. Coming into this match, as both haven't been at their best, picking out a favorite will be tough.

However, in the goals market there’s some promise. Both teams scored in three of Finland’s last five matches, and three of them also had over 2.5 goals. There was a similar stat in Lithuania’s last five matches as well. Our prediction for Finland v Lithuania is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Finland Lithuania

Finland vs Lithuania Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Finland wins 1.48 1.55 +4.7%
Draw 4 3.8 -5.0%
Lithuania wins 7.5 6.5 -13.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Finland is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 64.5% (-3.1%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Finland vs. Lithuania game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Finland and Lithuania? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Enjoy the promotion!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Finland vs Lithuania Prediction

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