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by Kennedy Kechula | in World Cup Predictions
Finland will enter the sixth round of matches in the 2025 World Cup qualifiers with a home match against Lithuania. Playing in Group G, Finland are third with seven points, and Lithuania are fourth on three. We have a prediction for the match below.
Finland blew a golden opportunity in their 3-1 loss away to Poland. The loss was their third in five matches, and Finland will enter this game in really bad shape.
At home they won their last match, 2-1 against Poland, but that was only a recovery after four straight losses. Having failed to beat Lithuania in the last two meetings will be another stat for the hosts to deal with.
Lithuania are coming into this match without a win in the last 10 matches. The recent five have been somewhat positive, as three ended in draws. In their latest outing, they almost pulled a shock draw with group leaders, the Netherlands.
Lithuania came from 2-0 down to 2-2 in the first half before the Dutch rose to claim three points midway through the second half in a 3-2 win.
One of the three draws they have posted in the last five matches was against Finland at home. Lithuania will be out to better that on the road.
For a side that only failed to score in four of 10 matches, they’ll have the belief.
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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v Lithuania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.1 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and Lithuania?
Our prediction for the Finland vs Lithuania match is: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/10/2025 between Finland and Lithuania in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.62% for a win of Finland against Lithuania with odds of 1.54 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs Lithuania is 24.48% with odds of 4.24 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Finland with odds of 7.7 at 888Starz.
Finland vs Lithuania Form
Finland and Lithuania's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
|
4
|
3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
Finland and Lithuania Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Lithuania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Finland vs Lithuania last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Finland
Lithuania
B. Kallman
(2 Goals)
,
J. Pohjanpalo
(2 Goals)
G. Gineitis
(3 Goals)
Finland - Lithuania Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Finland’s last five matches.
- Half of Finland’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Six of Lithuania’s last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in three of Lithuania’s last five matches.
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Our Finland vs Lithuania Prediction
These two nations’ last 10 outings apiece produced just two wins. Both wins were Finland’s, and in one of the 10 matches, the two nations played out a 2-2 draw. Coming into this match, as both haven't been at their best, picking out a favorite will be tough.
However, in the goals market there’s some promise. Both teams scored in three of Finland’s last five matches, and three of them also had over 2.5 goals. There was a similar stat in Lithuania’s last five matches as well. Our prediction for Finland v Lithuania is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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