Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Dubai Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
After winning his first seven matches against Felix Auger-Aliassime, Daniil Medvedev is now attempting to avoid a third successive defeat. The pair meet in the last four of the outdoor hard court Dubai Tennis Championships. Read our match prediction below.
The winner will play either fifth seed Andrey Rublev or sixth-seeded Jakub Mensik in Saturday's final.
Felix Auger-Aliassime was the losing finalist in this ATP 500 tournament last year. If the top seed can beat Medvedev, he'll be in his third straight ATP Tour final with one title won in Montpellier.
The Canadian has reached the last four without losing a set. Thursday's quarter-final saw him defeat eighth-seeded Jiri Lehecka. He's now ninth in the live rankings but seventh in the ATP Race.
He lost seven successive matches to Medvedev before finally beating him on clay in 2024 and on this surface last year when his opponent retired. On outdoor hard courts, the Russian leads Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-1.
Third seed Daniil Medvedev is in his third semi-final here in four years and was champion in 2023. He's also made it to the last four without dropping a set and has only lost 12 games. In the quarter-finals, he beat Jenson Brooksby 6-2 6-1.
We tip Medvedev to win this.
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Felix Auger Aliassime v Daniil Medvedev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.26 | 1.64 |
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2.03 | 1.78 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.02 | 1.72 |
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2.02 | 1.72 |
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Daniil Medvedev wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev game on 27/02/2026 of the current ATP Dubai Open season:
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 47.35% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.26.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 52.65% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 1.78 at Betwinner.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 47.35 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 47.35 % |
| Daniil Medvedev | 52.65 % |
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
31 Jul 2024 - Olympic Tournament
20 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
24 Feb 2023 - ATP Qatar Open
17 Feb 2023 - ATP Rotterdam
26 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
10 Sept 2021 - ATP US Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Excluding retirements, Medvedev has won all six of his outdoor hard court matches against Auger-Aliassime.
- Medvedev has only lost 12 games in his three matches played this week.
- Medvedev won this title in 2023.
- In their last four matches played on this surface, Medvedev leads seven sets to one.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Both players have won one title this year with 12 wins overall and three defeats. All of Medvedev's wins have come on this surface whereas most of Auger-Aliassime's victories have come indoors. Medvedev is 11th in the live rankings and has had three impressive wins this week.
He's a former champion in Dubai with an excellent record against his opponent. Auger-Aliassime is on an excellent run and a side bet on three sets being played could win. Our main Felix Auger-Aliassime v Daniil Medvedev prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Felix Auger Aliassime or Daniil Medvedev, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
