Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Buenos Aires
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Matteo Berrettini makes his season debut at the Argentina Open, where he will compete as the eighth seed. He will face off with another season debutant, Federico Coria, in the first round, with this being their fourth career meeting. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Coria is breaking a six-month absence from competitive play. The Argentine hasn’t taken to the court since an early exit at the Bronn Challenger back in August due to an elbow injury.
As a former Buenos Aires semi-finalist, he will be confident of making a winning start in his return. A lack of playing time has seen Coria, a winner of almost 600 matches on clay, drop out of the ATP’s top 300.
Though he is also making his season debut, Matteo Berrettini hasn’t stayed that long away from a tennis court like Coria. The Italian, who ended his 2025 season in November, has played two exhibition matches this season, winning once.
Falling to Tristan Schoolkate in his most recent outing, Berrettini saw a four-match winning run come to an end.
Currently the world number 58, Berrettini, a 10-time tour champion, has never lost against Coria and defeated him most recently at the 2021 French Open.
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Federico Coria v Matteo Berrettini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6 | 1.13 |
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6 | 1.13 |
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6.5 | 1.11 |
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5.4 | 1.12 |
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5.6 | 1.11 |
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Who will win the Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini game on 10/02/2026 of the current ATP Buenos Aires season:
- Federico Coria has a 25.81% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 6.5.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 74.19% probability of winning facing Federico Coria ⭐ with odds of 1.14 at 888Starz.
Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Federico Coria has a 25.81 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Federico Coria | 25.81 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 74.19 % |
Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Federico Coria and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
19 May 2025 - ATP French Open
1 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
31 Mar 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
21 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
19 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
6 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
5 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
3 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
16 Sept 2020 - ATP Italian Open
Federico Coria - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Berrettini has won 102 matches on clay.
- Coria hasn’t played a competitive fixture in six months.
- This is the fourth meeting on clay between Berrettini and Coria.
- All three previous duels between Berrettini and Coria have been won by the former.
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Our Federico Coria vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Our prediction for Federico Coria v Matteo Berrettini is for exact score: 1-2. Coria and Berrettini have played each other only on clay courts, and this is their fourth such showdown. Berrettini has never lost to Coria and, as a result, is our pick to win here.
Though he hasn't played much this season like Coria, Berrettini has a bit more match fitness than his opponent after recent exhibition games. It won't be an easy win, however, for the Italian, as Coria is a clay court specialist and is playing on home soil.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Federico Coria or Matteo Berrettini, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.