FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
14/08/2025 12:00
Fredrikstad FK

Prediction :

 

Midtjylland to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Europa League Predictions

Danish giants Midtjylland will welcome Fredrikstad for the return leg of their Europa League third qualifying round encounter this Thursday. Below is our preview and prediction of the match.

Midtjylland’s scoring form has already lifted them out of a number of tricky spots this season. In the first leg of this tie, they showed that yet again, in beating Fredrikstad 3-1.

However, things haven't been as smooth in defence and they come here having lost a 3-1 lead to draw 3-3 with Fredericia in their domestic league. As things stand, Midtjylland have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of the last five matches.

They also come into this game unbeaten in seven matches but drew five of them at 90 minutes. Five times in Midtjylland’s last six Europa League outings, the matches had over 2.5 goals.

Fredrikstad suffered at home in the first leg, and they are about to experience a similar outing, occasioned by a vociferous home crowd. The fact that the visitors come into the match off the back of two winless outings will not boost their confidence by much.

Fredrikstad have actually posted one win in the last five matches and failed to score in two of those five. Three times in their last six matches, they conceded two or more goals. They will trace back to May for the last time they won an away game, which won’t be a great stat here.

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FC Midtjylland v Fredrikstad FK Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.36 5 6.8
1xbet
1.54 4.89 5.14
Melbet
1.45 4.84 6.4
Betwinner
1.48 4.8 6
Bet365
1.5 4.75 5
Check all FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK odds

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Midtjylland and Fredrikstad FK?

Our prediction for the FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK match is: Midtjylland to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2025 between FC Midtjylland and Fredrikstad FK in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.02% for a win of FC Midtjylland against Fredrikstad FK with odds of 1.54 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK is 40.45% with odds of 5 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Fredrikstad FK vs FC Midtjylland with odds of 6.8 at Stake.

FC Midtjylland - Fredrikstad FK Prediction and Best Odds:

FC Midtjylland Fredrikstad FK Prediction Probability Odds
FC Midtjylland wins 45.02% 1.54 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 54.22% 1.86 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 70.83%
Half-time / Full-time : FC Midtjylland/FC Midtjylland 21.77% 2.2 at Bet365

FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Form

FC Midtjylland and Fredrikstad FK Last Matches

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland Last matches
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
3 :  3
FC Fredericia

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Fredrikstad FK
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

3 Aug 2025 - Superliga

AGF Aarhus
0 :  0
FC Midtjylland

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Hibernian
1 :  2
FC Midtjylland

28 Jul 2025 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
6 :  2
Sonderjyske

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  1
Hibernian
W L D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
3 :  3
FC Fredericia

28 Jul 2025 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
6 :  2
Sonderjyske

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  1
Hibernian

20 Jul 2025 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
3 :  3
Odense Boldklub

2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
2 :  3
Randers FC

27 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
2 :  0
Silkeborg IF
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Fredrikstad FK
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

3 Aug 2025 - Superliga

AGF Aarhus
0 :  0
FC Midtjylland

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Hibernian
1 :  2
FC Midtjylland

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SK Slovan Bratislava
1 :  4
FC Midtjylland

10 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Dynamo Kyiv
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

19 May 2025 - Superliga

Brondby IF
1 :  2
FC Midtjylland
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK Last matches
W L D W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Fredrikstad FK
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

2 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Fredrikstad FK

25 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
3 :  2
Stroemsgodset IF

20 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  1
Fredrikstad FK

16 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
0 :  1
Bodoe/Glimt

12 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
4 :  2
Molde
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Fredrikstad FK
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

25 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
3 :  2
Stroemsgodset IF

16 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
0 :  1
Bodoe/Glimt

12 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
4 :  2
Molde

29 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien

Fredrikstad FK
0 :  1
Tromsoe IL

15 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Fredrikstad FK
4 :  0
Sandefjord
D L L D D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Fredrikstad FK

20 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  1
Fredrikstad FK

5 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Vålerenga
1 :  1
Fredrikstad FK

22 Jun 2025 - Eliteserien

Viking FK
3 :  0
Fredrikstad FK

24 May 2025 - Eliteserien

Bryne FK
4 :  3
Fredrikstad FK

21 May 2025 - NM Cup

Lillestrøm
1 :  1
Fredrikstad FK

FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

FC Midtjylland

50 %

Draw

0 %

Fredrikstad FK

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Fredrikstad FK
1 :  3
FC Midtjylland

9 Feb 2024 - Atlantic Cup

FC Midtjylland
0 :  1
Fredrikstad FK

FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK last Lineups

FC Midtjylland

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

19
P. Bravo
21
D. Castillo
58
A. Simsir
41
M. Gogorza
7
Franculino
13
A. Gabriel
6
M. Erlic
9
A. Buksa
22
M. Bech Sorensen
29
Paulinho
16
E. Olafsson
12
U. Fredriksen
11
P. Metcalfe
6
L. Owusu
5
S. Rafn
4
S. Molde
14
J. Bjartalid
28
S. Owusu
20
O. Ohlenschlæger
77
M. Borsheim
23
H. Skogvold
22
M. Woledzi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Fredrikstad FK

Substitutes

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Goalkeeper

L. Selin

J. Lossl

Defender

V. Jensen

L. Hanbeom

M. Erlic 58'

K. Mbabu

Midfielder

V. Andreasen

A. Buksa 58'

D. Silva

P. Bravo 75'

E. Chilufya

Franculino 58'

Forward

C. Gue-sung

D. Osorio

M. Gogorza 78'

Etim

J. Brumado

Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Goalkeeper

Langbraten Ole

O. Ovretveit

Defender

B. Skaret

K. Okpaleke

L. Begby

S. Kvile

D. Eid

S. Owusu 70'

Midfielder

E. Granaas

L. Owusu 78'

R. Shein

S. Rafn 46'

E. Solberg

S. Sorlokk

O. Ohlenschlæger 58'

Forward

E. Holten

J. Bjartalid 46'

FC Midtjylland - Fredrikstad FK Key Points

  1. Midtjylland have banked two wins in their last two Europa League outings.
  2. Four of Midtjylland’s last five matches saw over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Three of Fredrikstad’s last six matches had over 2.5 goals.
  4. Fredrikstad’s last five matches produced just one win.
  5. Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last six matches.
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Our FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Prediction

Fredrikstad are already at a disadvantage coming into this game. Their 3-1 loss at home will mean they have to give extra to try the difficult task of overturning this. Unfortunately, they are not only facing a good scoring side but also playing away from home.

In their last five matches, Fredrikstad won only once. Meanwhile, Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last six matches and scored 3+ in three. Our prediction for Midtjylland v Fredrikstad is for Midtjylland to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Midtjylland to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Midtjylland Fredrikstad FK

FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
FC Midtjylland wins 1.38 1.54 +11.6%
Draw 4.89 5 +2.2%
Fredrikstad FK wins 9.55 6.8 -28.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • FC Midtjylland is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 64.9% (-7.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

FC Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad FK Prediction