Everton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Everton host Liverpool for the first time since they moved to their new stadium. The home side are eighth in the Premier League and that's just three places and five points behind Liverpool. Can the Toffees get a vital home victory? Read our Merseyside derby match prediction below.
The past few seasons have seen Everton struggling to stay in the Premier League. There is no relegation battle this term and instead, the Toffees are dreaming of European football next season, perhaps even the Champions League. A win over Liverpool on Sunday will take them to just a couple of points behind the final Champions League qualifying position currently held by their opponents.
Liverpool were knocked out of the UCL in midweek. The Reds won the Premier League last season but are 18 points adrift of league leaders Arsenal. Their only target now is to ensure a top five position. They currently lead sixth--placed Chelsea by four points.
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Everton v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.28 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.36 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Liverpool match is: Everton wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Everton and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.51% for a win of Everton against Liverpool with odds of 3.38 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Liverpool is 19.46% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Everton with odds of 2.35 at Shangrila.
Everton - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 46.51% | 3.38 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.85% | 2.07 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Everton | 18.35% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Liverpool Form
Everton and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
Everton and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Everton vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
13 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Everton - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Not since the 2020-21 season has Everton reached 50 points in the Premier League. A win over Liverpool will see them reach that milestone with five games to spare. The Toffees are also hoping to qualify for Europe. They haven't played in any European competition since 2017-18.
They have won 13 league games this season and six of those have been achieved in their brand new Hill Dickinson stadium. They have won their last two home league games with victories over Burnley and Chelsea, scoring five goals without reply.
Last weekend saw them draw 2-2 at Brentford. Only one of their last five games has been lost.
Liverpool exited the UCL in midweek, being beaten by PSG. They are still in with a good chance of qualifying for next season's Champions League but they have totally lacked the consistency seen last term when winning the title.
The Reds are struggling on the road.
The Reds have won six away league games this season but been beaten seven times. They have lost their last two away Premier League fixtures at Wolves and Brighton. On top of that there has also been away losses to Galatasaray, Manchester City and PSG.
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Everton against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderN. Patterson
M. Keane
C. Alcaraz
M. Rohl
T. Iroegbunam
T. George
T. Barry
T. Dibling
A. Pecsi
F. Woodman
M. Kerkez
J. Frimpong
A. Mac Allister
F. Chiesa
T. Nyoni
ForwardR. Ngumoha
Missing players
Alisson
DefenderJ. Gomez
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardH. Ekitike
Everton & Liverpool Squad Analysis
This is a vital game for Everton. Not just because there is nothing better that they or their fans love than beating Liverpool. European football is a definitive possibility next season and that means so much after all the recent relegation battles.
It hasn't always been easy for them at home this season in their new stadium. The last two home league games have both been won and no goals conceded either. They have no fresh injury concerns and will hope for more goals from Beto who has three goals in his last two matches.
Terrible injury blow for Liverpool.
Liverpool suffered a major blow during their midweek home loss to PSG. Being knocked out of the Champions League was bad enough but even worse was the loss to injury of striker Hugo Ekitike. He has a serious achilles injury and won't play again this season.
The Reds have been struggling for goals of late. They scored two against Fulham last weekend but that is the only one of their last four games in which they have hit the back of the net. On the road, Liverpool have only scored one goal in their last four matches.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Liverpool
Beto
(9 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Everton - Liverpool Key Points
- Everton have only been beaten by Arsenal in their last five games.
- Liverpool have lost five of their last six away games in all competitions.
- Everton have earned four points from their last two home Premier League games against Liverpool..
- Everton have won their last two home league games to nil, including beating Chelsea 3-0.
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Our Everton vs Liverpool Prediction
The past few years have seen Everton in desperate need for points at this time of the season. Not to get into Europe but to stay in the Premier League. It is a different story this term and a win here really will get them dreaming of Champions League football.
Everton have become a side that is difficult to defeat. This weekend they host Liverpool who are struggling at present, especially on the road with five losses in the last six games. Our main Everton v Liverpool prediction is Everton wins or draws.
Everton vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Everton wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Liverpool
| Everton vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 3.93 | 3.38 | -14.0% |
| Draw | 3.91 | 3.6 | -7.9% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.98 | 2.35 | +18.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Everton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.4% and is now 29.6% (4.1%)
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Everton vs Liverpool - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
