Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
In Group 1 of League C of the Nations League this Friday, Estonia will play hosts to Azerbaijan. This Match Day 3 outing finds the two nations occupying the bottom two slots. In case you are looking to bet on the event, we have a prediction to guide.
Estonia have the poorest goal difference in the group and as such find themselves bottom of the pool. In the opening two matches, they failed to score, while conceding four times in the process.
In their last outing, Estonia had Kevor Palumets sent off as they lost 3-0 away to Sweden. That marked the third time in five matches that Estonia failed to score.
It was also the second time in the same run that they conceded three or more.
The last time Azerbaijan visited Estonia was in the European Championship qualifiers, back in 2023. They won 2-0 for their second unbeaten outing against Estonia.
Heading into this game without a point so far, Azerbaijan will draw confidence from their recent head-to-head record. Quickfire first half goals away to Slovakia in the last game saw Azerbaijan suffer a 2-0 defeat.
That came after falling 3-1 at home to Sweden on Match Day 1, leaving them on zero points so far. The experienced Fernando Santos is clearly having a hard time at the team and largely due to a porous backline.
In each of their last four matches, Azerbaijan conceded at least twice. The visitors will, however, look at their scoring form for some solace. They only failed to score once in the last six matches.
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Estonia v Azerbaijan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 2.9 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.21 | 3.32 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.19 | 2.39 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.13 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.1 | 2.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Azerbaijan?
Our prediction for the Estonia vs Azerbaijan match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2024 between Estonia and Azerbaijan in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.76% for a win of Estonia against Azerbaijan with odds of 3.3 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Azerbaijan is 19.58% with odds of 3.32 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Azerbaijan vs Estonia with odds of 2.55 at Betobet.
Estonia - Azerbaijan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estonia Azerbaijan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan wins | 42.67% | 2.55 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.15% | 2.07 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Half-time : Estonia / Full-time : Azerbaijan | 15.56% | 41 at Betsson |
Estonia vs Azerbaijan Form
Estonia and Azerbaijan's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
|
4
|
1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 |
Estonia and Azerbaijan Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sept 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
Estonia vs Azerbaijan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
Estonia against Azerbaijan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
Andre Karl Vallner
M. Igonen
DefenderM. Lilander
R. Peetson
M. Kuusk
MidfielderM. Miller
M. Poom
R. Saarma
M. Vetkal
E. Sorga
P. Kristal
S. Zenjov
R. Cafarov
A. Bayramov
DefenderS. Aliyev
Z. Aliyev
V. Abdullayev
MidfielderQ. Aliyev
Khayal Najafov
C. Nuriyev
E. Mahmudov
O. Kokcu
R. Ahmedzadeh
M. Emreli
Most goals and assists
Estonia
Azerbaijan
V. Sinyavskiy
(1 Goals)
,
I. Yakovlev
(1 Goals)
,
R. Shein
(1 Goals)
T. Bayramov
(2 Goals)
R. Shein
(1 Assists)
T. Bayramov
(1 Assists)
,
R. Sheydaev
(1 Assists)
Estonia - Azerbaijan Key Points
- Azerbaijan’s last five matches witnessed 17 goals netted.
- 14 goals were scored in Estonia’s last five Nations League matches.
- Three of Estonia’s last five matches had at least three goals scored.
- Azerbaijan’s last five Nations League matches had 14 goals scored.
- In three of Azerbaijan’s last five away matches, they conceded three or more goals.
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Our Estonia vs Azerbaijan Prediction
These two teams have a recent history of high scoring matches. Azerbaijan have either scored or conceded three times in three of their last four matches. It is the same case for Estonia, scoring or conceding three or more goals in four of their last five matches.
Half of their last six meetings also had over three goals scored. These high scores have also been witnessed in their Nations League matches. Our prediction for Estonia v Azerbaijan is for the match to have over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estonia Azerbaijan
| Estonia vs Azerbaijan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia wins | 2.67 | 3.3 | +23.6% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.32 | -0.9% |
| Azerbaijan wins | 2.67 | 2.55 | -4.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Azerbaijan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.5% and is now 39.2% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
