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Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

WTA 17 USA
Emma Navarro
03/10/2025 06:00
WTA 7 USA
Jessica Pegula

Prediction :

 

Pegula to win in three sets

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions

Jessica Pegula has confirmed her first-ever Beijing Open quarter-final berth and will be taking on Emma Navarro, another first-time quarter-finalist here. This will be the third meeting between the two, and the winner will face Sonay Kartal or Linda Noskova next. Read on for our prediction of the match.

In a fourth round packed with surprises, Navarro claimed one of them in a three-set win over top seed Iga Swiatek. The world number 17 now has another tough hurdle to negotiate, having lost twice against Pegula.

Apart from the head-to-head records, she is also battling a poor run in the quarter-final stage. Navarro, 14th in the live rank, won the title in Merida but has a 1-6 record at the quarters this season.

Fifth seed Pegula will be featuring in her ninth quarter-final this season and hopes to advance for the seventh time. In Doha and Stuttgart, she fell at this stage, but in Austin, Charleston, and Bad Homburg, she went on to win the titles.

Here she comes looking to defend her record against Navarro but also aware her opponent is coming off a huge win. Her three-set win over Marta Kostyuk lasted two hours and 19 minutes and winning that saw four American players enter the last eight stage.

For Pegula, it was win number 46 in the season and 31st of 43 on hard courts. Now sixth in the live ranking, Pegula arrives here as a clear favorite.

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The Best Betting Odds for Emma Navarro v Jessica Pegula Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.75 1.44
William Hill
2.75 1.44
Betway
2.75 1.44
Ladbrokes
2.62 1.44
Unibet
2.85 1.42
Check all Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula odds
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Who will win the Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula match is: Pegula to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula game on 03/10/2025 of the current WTA China Open season:

  • Emma Navarro has a 33.41% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 2.85.
  • Jessica Pegula has a 66.59% probability of winning facing Emma Navarro ⭐ with odds of 1.45 at Bwin.

Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Emma Navarro has a 33.41 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Emma Navarro33.41 %
Jessica Pegula66.59 %

Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Form

Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula Last Matches

Emma Navarro Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

1 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Emma Navarro

29 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Lois Boisson
abort
Emma Navarro

26 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
0 :  2
Emma Navarro

21 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elisabetta Cocciaretto
2 :  0
Emma Navarro

20 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Emma Navarro
2 :  1
Sonay Kartal

17 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Yulia Putintseva
1 :  2
Emma Navarro
Jessica Pegula Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

1 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

29 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Raducanu
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

27 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

21 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

20 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Katie Boulter

18 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Emma Navarro

0 %

Jessica Pegula

100 %

26 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Emma Navarro

25 Mar 2024 - WTA Miami

Emma Navarro
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Compare Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula with our comparison tool.

Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula Key Points

  1. Navarro’s last outing had three sets played.
  2. Pegula’s last two matches needed deciding sets.
  3. Pegula has two wins in two meetings with Navarro.
  4. Pegula’s latest meeting with Navarro was settled by a third set.
  5. Navarro dropped at least one set in five of her last 10 hardcourt matches.
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Our Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

The quarter-final stage at the Beijing Open is heavy with American players, but in this tie, one must exit. Who will it be? The bookies favor Pegula to progress, and it isn’t hard to see why. She has already triumphed over Navarro this season, though on grass, taking her advantage in this fixture to 2-0.

Navarro will, however, not be an easy match, coming from a key win against Iga Swiatek. She doesn’t have a great record in quarter-finals this season, and this is one of the reasons we feel Pegula will advance. Our prediction for Emma Navarro v Jessica Pegula is for Pegula to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Pegula to win in three sets

 
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Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
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