Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fifth seed Elena Rybakina takes on the unseeded Varvara Gracheva in the second round at the Australian Open. The two have played each other twice before, but never at a major. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rybakina saw off the challenge of Kaja Juvan in the first round. She won in straight sets and only lost seven games as she continued her record of never losing a first-round tie in Melbourne.
A former Australian Open finalist, Rybakina is seeking to challenge for the title once again. The world number five, who has won three of four matches in 2026, has defeated Gracheva twice, most recently at the 2023 Indian Wells.
Varvara Gracheva is seeking to move past the second round at the Happy Slam for only the second time. With a career third-round finish in 2023, the Frenchwoman is competing at this major for a sixth successive season.
Gracheva fought through three sets against Viktorija Golubic to win a first-round tie for the fourth time in a row. The win was her first of a slow start to the season.
Gracheva started the year with back-to-back setbacks in Auckland and Hobart. With the win over Golubic, the 25-year-old has shot up five places to 72nd in the live ranking.
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Elena Rybakina v Varvara Gracheva Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 15 |
|
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1.02 | 15 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 |
|
|
1.01 | 11 |
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|
1.01 | 12 |
|
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Who will win the Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva match is: Elena Rybakina at -6.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva game on 22/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Elena Rybakina has a 78.73% chance to win against Varvara Gracheva according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.04.
- Varvara Gracheva has a 21.27% probability of winning facing Elena Rybakina ⭐ with odds of 15 at Melbet.
Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Elena Rybakina has a 78.73 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 78.73 % |
| Varvara Gracheva | 21.27 % |
Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva Form
Elena Rybakina and Varvara Gracheva Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
6 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
7 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
12 Jan 2026 - Hobart International
6 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
22 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
19 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
18 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Elena Rybakina - Varvara Gracheva Key Points
- Rybakina has won both meetings with Gracheva.
- Rybakina has won close to 200 matches on hard courts.
- After three matches so far in 2026, Gracheva has lost twice.
- Gracheva has never won more than three games in a contest against Rybakina.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction
Our Elena Rybakina v Varvara Gracheva prediction is Elena Rybakina at -6.5. Rybakina has never lost against Gracheva in the two times they have met. In each victory, she did not lose more than three games to the Frenchwoman.
Coupling this streak with her dominance on hard courts, Rybakina looks destined for another strong performance. Rybakina’s superiority is also significantly strengthened by Gracheva’s slow start to the season and struggles against top-10 players. Gracheva has lost seven of 10 duels with the WTA top 10 opposition.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Elena Rybakina vs. Varvara Gracheva game!
When you place a bet on the match between Elena Rybakina and Varvara Gracheva you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Elena Rybakina or Varvara Gracheva, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
