Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Miami
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Elena Rybakina, the third seed at the Miami Open, meets fifth seed Jessica Pegula in the third quarter-final at the event. This match will be the ninth meeting between the two, with the winner setting up a clash against Aryna Sabalenka or Hailey Baptiste. Read on for our prediction.
Rybakina and Pegula are already facing off for the third time this year alone. In January, Rybakina beat Pegula 2-0 on her way to winning the Australian Open and at Indian Wells over a week ago.
With four straight wins in this matchup, the Kazakh will be confident coming here, having also not dropped a set so far. She overcame Talia Gibson in the last round and enters this one placed second in the live rankings.
Pegula enters this match desperate to halt Rybakina’s dominance. The American has won three of their eight meetings, with the last being in 2023. In her last four meetings with the world number two, Pegula has only managed to win one set.
However, she will be fired up for this, coming here on three straight wins without dropping a set. Pegula has also spent close to one hour less than Rybakina on the court.
In the last round Pegula beat Jaqueline Cristian to go 19-3 for the season. Her sights are set on winning her second title this season, having claimed the Dubai one.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Elena Rybakina v Jessica Pegula Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.45 | 2.77 |
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1.45 | 2.77 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.42 | 2.68 |
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1.42 | 2.68 |
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Who will win the Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula match is: Elena Rybakina wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula game on 25/03/2026 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Elena Rybakina has a 59.62% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
- Jessica Pegula has a 40.38% probability of winning facing Elena Rybakina ⭐ with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Elena Rybakina has a 59.62 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 59.62 % |
| Jessica Pegula | 40.38 % |
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Form
Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
15 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
13 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
12 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
11 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
12 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
29 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
7 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha
18 Sept 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
29 Oct 2023 - WTA Doha
30 Mar 2023 - WTA Miami
Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Rybakina has beaten Pegula twice already in 2026.
- In eight meetings between these two, Rybakina won five.
- Rybakina has never lost a quarter-final at the Miami Open.
- Pegula has only won one set in her last four meetings with Rybakina.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
These two players are having great seasons, but Rybakina has had an edge over Pegula. The Kazakh has already beaten Pegula twice in 2026. This should give her a psychological boost as the two face off for the third time.
In each of the last four meetings between these two, Rybakina won and only dropped one set. This will also be her third quarter-final here, and she won the earlier two, while Pegula lost one of her four previous last-eight matches. Our prediction for Elena Rybakina v Jessica Pegula is that Elena Rybakina wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.