Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
18/10/2026 17:30
Flamengo

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Title-chasing Flamengo will be out to strengthen their Brazilian Serie A title bid when they travel to Bahia this weekend. With eight rounds left to play, Flamengo lead the standings and have won 15 more points than fifth-placed Bahia. In their current form, our prediction will back Flamengo.

Bahia got back to winning ways last time out and will be keen to keep it that way this weekend. Esquadrão de Aço halted a two-game skid with a 1-0 win over Mirassol.

The win meant that Bahia had avoided defeat in eight straight matches at home. Rogério Ceni’s men, who have won 13 of 30 matches, sit on 49 points and are well in the race for a top four finish.

Flamengo lead the table but they are far from securing the title. Leonardo Jardim’s men have racked up 64 points and sit just one point ahead of Palmeiras in second.

The Mengão have won 19 games and have registered 58 goals, six more than any other side. Two of those goals were scored in a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture with Bahia.

Despite not winning their last match, Flamengo were able to extend their unbeaten streak to 10 matches. The visitors, who won the derby against Fluminense by a solitary goal last time in the league, drew 0-0 at Estudiantes in the Libertadores semi-finals.

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Bahia v Flamengo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.20 3.60 2.05
1xbet
3.32 3.80 2.10
Melbet
3.28 3.74 2.08
Betwinner
3.28 3.74 2.08
22bet
3.28 3.74 2.08
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bahia and Flamengo?

Our prediction for the Bahia vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between Bahia and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.24% for a win of Bahia against Flamengo with odds of 3.55 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bahia vs Flamengo is 26.88% with odds of 3.8 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Bahia with odds of 2.15 at Shangrila.

Bahia vs Flamengo Form

Bahia and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Flamengo
64 30 19 7 4 +33
5 Bahia
49 30 13 10 7 +8

Bahia and Flamengo Last Matches

Bahia
Bahia Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  0
Mirassol

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  1
Bahia

14 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Remo

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  3
Bahia

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
3 :  2
Internacional
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  0
Mirassol

14 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  1
Remo

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
3 :  2
Internacional

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  1
Corinthians

17 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
2 :  0
Chapecoense
D D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
2 :  1
Bahia

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
2 :  3
Bahia

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
0 :  2
Bahia

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
3 :  3
Bahia

29 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  0
Bahia
Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W D W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes de La Plata
0 :  0
Flamengo

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Flamengo

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Bragantino

17 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Corinthians
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Bragantino

17 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Corinthians

2 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Mirassol

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Botafogo
W L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Oct 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes de La Plata
0 :  0
Flamengo

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  2
Flamengo

10 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

CSD Independiente Del Valle
0 :  2
Flamengo

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
0 :  1
Flamengo

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Flamengo

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  5
Flamengo

Bahia vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bahia

17 %

Draw

0 %

Flamengo

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Bahia

5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  0
Flamengo

10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Bahia

5 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  2
Flamengo

12 Sept 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Flamengo
1 :  0
Bahia

28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Bahia
0 :  1
Flamengo
Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Bahia vs Flamengo last Lineups

Bahia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
Ronaldo
44
Marcos Victor
33
D. Duarte
3
M. Moreno
46
L. Juba
6
Jean Lucas
8
C. Alexandre
11
R. Nestor
99
C. Olivera
9
A. Veliz
16
E. Pulga
27
B. Pinto
16
S. Lino
20
L. Paqueta
15
J. Carrascal
8
S. Niguez
5
E. Pulgar
26
Alex Sandro
4
L. Pereira
3
L. Ortiz
22
Emerson
1
A. Rossi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Flamengo

Substitutes

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

G. Herrera

Defender

Z. Guilherme

R. Gomez

Kanu

Midfielder

L. Lopez

E. Conrado

E. Ribeiro

M. Araujo

Forward

Willian Jose

M. Sanabria

Ademir

Everaldo

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

Andrew

D. Alves

Defender

Vitao

J. Goes

V. Joao

G. Varela

Midfielder

N. de la Cruz

A. Valencia

Forward

G. Plata

L. Araujo

Pedro

J. Freitas

Missing players

Bahia
Bahia
Goalkeeper

L. Vieira

Flamengo
Flamengo
Defender

A. Lucas

Midfielder

Jorginho

G. de Arrascaeta

Evertton

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bahia
CD Huachipato Flamengo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil L. Juba (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Pedro (16 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil E. Ribeiro (4 Assists) , 
Brazil R. Nestor (4 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia J. Carrascal (8 Assists)

Bahia and Flamengo Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
Bahia
Flamengo
Flamengo
43%
Wins
63%
23%
Losses
13%
33%
Draws
23%
2.67
Average goals per match
2.77
1.47
Goals scored per match
1.93
1.2
Goals conceded per match
0.83
50%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
30%
No goals conceded
43%
63%
BTTS
50%

Bahia - Flamengo Key Points

  1. Flamengo won 13 of the 14 previous meetings with Bahia.
  2. Flamengo haven’t lost in 10 matches, winning seven times
  3. Two of Bahia’s last three games ended in defeat.
  4. Flamengo have the best away record in the league.
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Our Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Our prediction for Bahia v Flamengo is that Flamengo wins. The visitors are currently the top team in Serie A and have been in terrific form. They lead the standings and come into this match without a defeat in 10 straight matches.

Flamengo have been in fine form on both ends of the pitch, and no other team has scored more goals than them. Bahia have also been in strong form, but recently, the hosts have stumbled. They also have been on the receiving end in this fixture more than they would like.

Prediction :

 

Flamengo wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.