Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Separated by just one point in the league table, eighth-placed Bahia will welcome tenth-placed Botafogo to the Arena Fonte Nova on matchday 18 of the Serie A Betano. The hosts are winless in their last six league games and take on the visitors, who have avoided defeat in three games and look capable of extending that run in a double chance prediction.
Bahia are enduring a difficult run in the Serie A Betano, having gone six matches without a win. To worsen an already difficult situation, they are winless in eight matches across all competitions (D3, L5).
Bahiaco found themselves squandering a one-goal lead in a narrow 3-2 away defeat to Coritiba, marking their second loss in three league games.
Home is where the heart is, but that doesn't apply to Rogerio Ceni's men, who have failed to register a win in four games and currently boast the second-worst home record this season.
Botafogo are riding high on momentum after their 3-1 thrashing of Caracas in the closing round of the Copa Sudamericana.
That result saw Botafogo finish seven points clear at the top in Group E, allowing them to progress to the knockout stages.
Attention now turns to their upcoming league assignment with Bahia. In their recent match, they held Sao Paulo to a 1-1 draw on the road. That outcome extended their unbeaten league run to three games.
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Bahia v Botafogo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.03 | 3.75 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.72 | 3.38 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.75 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bahia and Botafogo?
Our prediction for the Bahia vs Botafogo match is: Draw or Botafogo.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/05/2026 between Bahia and Botafogo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.52% for a win of Bahia against Botafogo with odds of 2.1 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bahia vs Botafogo is 30.8% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs Bahia with odds of 3.64 at Melbet.
Bahia - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bahia Botafogo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 43.67% | 3.64 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.13% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time : Bahia / Full-time : Botafogo | 15.82% | 30 at LSbet |
Bahia vs Botafogo Form
Bahia and Botafogo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
30 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +4 |
|
9
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
Bahia and Botafogo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Bahia vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Bahia against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
Victor
DefenderKanu
Marcos Victor
G. Xavier
R. Gomez
MidfielderM. Araujo
Jean Lucas
E. Ribeiro
M. Sanabria
Ademir
Everaldo
Caio Suassuna
Raul
Vitinho
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira
Anthony
C. Roque
MidfielderNewton
C. Valle
Edenilson
J. Barrera
S. Rodriguez
C. Ramos
Matheus Martins
Missing players
R. Pablo
Kaio
MidfielderAllan
ForwardN. Fernandes
Most goals and assists
Bahia
Botafogo
L. Juba
(7 Goals)
D. Santos
(7 Goals)
,
A. Cabral
(7 Goals)
E. Ribeiro
(4 Assists)
A. Montoro
(2 Assists)
,
D. Santos
(2 Assists)
,
Edenilson
(2 Assists)
,
Vitinho
(2 Assists)
,
A. Telles
(2 Assists)
,
K. Almeida Toledo
(2 Assists)
Bahia - Botafogo Key Points
- Bahia are winless in their last six league games.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last three league games, with two draws during this stretch.
- Bahia have drawn four of their last eight home league games.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last four away Serie A Betano games, including two successive 1-1 draws.
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Our Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction
Bahia have dominated Botafogo in past meetings, but it was the latter who had the last laugh in the previous season, winning 2-1 on MD26 of the Serie A Betano.
The visitors are also the ones in better form heading into this clash and have their sights set on a rise up the league table. They are unbeaten in four matches across all competitions, with three wins, and will want to build on this momentum to secure a positive outcome against a side whose home form has left much to be desired. Our Bahia vs Botafogo prediction: Draw or Botafogo.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bahia Botafogo
| Bahia vs Botafogo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia wins | 2.05 | 2.1 | +2.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.8 | +8.6% |
| Botafogo wins | 3.58 | 3.64 | +1.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Botafogo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.9% and is now 27.5% (-0.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Bahia vs. Botafogo game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
