Donna Vekić vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells

WTA - WTA Indian Wells

Donna Vekić Croatia
Donna Vekić WTA 36
12/03/2025 16:35
Madison Keys USA
Madison Keys WTA 21

Prediction :

 

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Fifth seed Madison Keys is on a long unbeaten run and the American takes on 19th-seeded Donna Vekic in the fourth round at Indian Wells. Can Vekic cause an upset? Time for our match prediction.

Keys has won 16 of her 17 matches played this year. Her only loss has been to Clara Tauson in Auckland two months ago. Since that defeat, Keys has won 14 successive matches and won the Adelaide International and Australian Open.

Due to injury, this outdoor hard court WTA 1000 tournament is her first since winning that Grand Slam. This tournament has seen the world number five (but top of the Live Race) beat Anastasia Potapova and then 28th seed Elise Mertens in three sets.

Donna Vekic was 22nd in the latest rankings and 19th in the live rankings. This is her fourth match against Keys but only the second on this surface. Keys won that match (the other two have been shared) but it took three sets. 

This is the first time they've played each other since 2019. Vekic has had wins in this tournament over Elina Avanesyan and tenth seed Emma Navarro,both in straight sets. A win here will take Vekic into her first quarter-final of the year.

Our tip here is over 19.5 games to be played.

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Donna Vekić vs Madison Keys Form

Donna Vekić and Madison Keys Last Matches

Donna Vekić Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

10 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha

Donna Vekić
0 :  2
Linda Noskova

18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Donna Vekić
0 :  2
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

11 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Diane Parry
0 :  2
Donna Vekić

5 Jan 2025 - WTA Adelaide

Donna Vekić
0 :  2
Yulia Putintseva

30 Dec 2024 - United Cup

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Donna Vekić

27 Dec 2024 - United Cup

Leylah Fernandez
2 :  0
Donna Vekić
Madison Keys Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Madison Keys

25 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Aryna Sabalenka
1 :  2
Madison Keys

23 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

21 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Elina Svitolina

19 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Madison Keys

18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Danielle Collins
Donna Vekić vs Madison Keys Prediction

Donna Vekić - Madison Keys Key Points

  1. Ten of the last 11 matches Keys has played have had over 19.5 games played in them.
  2. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Keys has played one in two of her last three matches.
  3. Five of the last six matches Keys has played have gone to a final set.
  4. The last two matches played between Vekic and Keys have seen four tie-breaks played.
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Our Donna Vekić vs Madison Keys Prediction

A side bet on a tie-break in this match may well be a winner. Four have been played in the last two matches between these players. Madison Keys has only tasted defeat once this year but her matches regularly go to a final set.

Donna Vekic had never made it past round two of this tournament before this year. The last round saw her beat recent ATX Open champion Emma Navarro in straight sets. Our Donna Vekic v Madison Keys prediction is over 19.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

 

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.