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02 January 2024 - 04:00 

- Day 5

ATP - Brisbane International

ATP 117 Austria
Dominic Thiem
VS
ATP 305 Spain
Rafael Nadal

Prediction :

Dominic Thiem wins the match

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Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Rafael Nadal is back on the tour stage and will begin his season against the qualifier Dominic Thiem in Brisbane. The winner will then advance to play either Aslan Karatsev or Jason Kubler in the second round. This is the 16th-ever meeting between these two players. At one point it was one of the more sought-after fixtures in the ATP. Thiem has won six times against Nadal with three of his wins coming in the last four meetings with the Spaniard. He will hope to continue with this recent dominance in this fixture. Thiem, who is making his second appearance in Brisbane, won both his qualifiers in three sets. He defeated Giulio Zeppieri in the final qualifier by coming from a set down. Thiem, who is a multiple Grand Slam finalist and winner, battled with injuries in 2023 and had a disappointing campaign. He finished the year with a 27-30 record and won just one of six games on outdoor hard courts. The former world number three is currently ranked 98th in the world.

Rafael Nadal is making his long-awaited return to the tour after almost a year out due to injury. The Spaniard was last on the court in January of 2023 at the Australian Open. This long layoff has seen him drop out of the top 100 for the first time in 20 years. Nadal has dominated this fixture with Thiem and has won nine of the previous 15 meetings. Two of those wins came in back-to-back French Open finals. The 22 Grand Slam champion finished 2023 with a 1-3 record with all four matches being played on outdoor hard courts. Nadal is a strong performer on hard courts and over his illustrious career has compiled a 442-112 record on the surface. There is a possibility that this might be Nadal’s final season as a professional. During his rehabilitation last year, he hinted as much. He begins the year ranked 670th in the ATP.

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The Best Betting Odds for Dominic Thiem v Rafael Nadal Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 1.62
NetBet
2.35 1.6
Check all Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal odds
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Who will win the Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal game on 1/1/24 of the current Brisbane International season:

  • Dominic Thiem has a 53.16% chance to win against Rafael Nadal according to NetBet ⭐ with the odds of 2.35.
  • Rafael Nadal has a 46.84% probability of winning facing Dominic Thiem ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.

Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Dominic Thiem has a 53.16 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Dominic Thiem53.16 %
Rafael Nadal46.84 %

Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Form

Dominic Thiem and Rafael Nadal Last Matches

Dominic Thiem Last matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Dec 2023 - Brisbane International

Dominic Thiem
2 :  1
Giulio Zeppieri

29 Dec 2023 - Brisbane International

Dominic Thiem
2 :  1
James McCabe

7 Nov 2023 - Moselle Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  1
Dominic Thiem

6 Nov 2023 - Moselle Open

Matteo Martineau
0 :  2
Dominic Thiem

1 Nov 2023 - Paris, France

Dominic Thiem
0 :  2
Holger Rune

30 Oct 2023 - Paris, France

Stan Wawrinka
1 :  2
Dominic Thiem
Rafael Nadal Last matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

17 Jan 2023 - ATP Australian Open

Rafael Nadal
0 :  3
Mackenzie Mcdonald

15 Jan 2023 - ATP Australian Open

Rafael Nadal
3 :  1
Jack Draper

2 Jan 2023 - United Cup

Rafael Nadal
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

30 Dec 2022 - United Cup

Rafael Nadal
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

17 Nov 2022 - ATP Finals

Rafael Nadal
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

15 Nov 2022 - ATP Finals

Rafael Nadal
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

Dominic Thiem against Rafael Nadal : Head to Head (H2H)

Dominic Thiem

50 %

Rafael Nadal

50 %

17 Nov 2020 - ATP Finals

Rafael Nadal
0 :  2
Dominic Thiem

29 Jan 2020 - ATP Australian Open

Rafael Nadal
1 :  3
Dominic Thiem

9 Jun 2019 - Roland Garros

Dominic Thiem
1 :  3
Rafael Nadal

27 Apr 2019 - ATP Barcelona

Rafael Nadal
0 :  2
Dominic Thiem

4 Sep 2018 - US Open

Rafael Nadal
3 :  2
Dominic Thiem

10 Jun 2018 - Roland Garros

Rafael Nadal
3 :  0
Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem - Rafael Nadal Key Points

  1. Thiem won 27 matches in 2023
  2. Six of Thiem’s last 10 fixtures have ended in victory
  3. Three of Nadal’s four matches in 2023 were defeats
  4. Nadal hasn’t played a competitive tennis match for almost a year
  5. Thiem has won three of the most recent four meetings with Nadal
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Our Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

Our prediction for Dominic Thiem v Rafael Nadal is for Thiem to win. Thiem has a strong most recent record against Nadal. He also has been more active than the Spaniard who hasn’t played since last January. As he has battled his way through the qualifying rounds, he should have the momentum to forge through here.

Prediction :

Dominic Thiem wins the match

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Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

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