Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - Dallas Open
ATP - Dallas Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Last year saw Denis Shapovalov win the indoor hard court Dallas Open. He is seeded seventh this year and begins his title defence with a first round match against qualifier Rafael Jodar. Time for our match prediction.
Waiting for the winner in round two is either Reilly Opelka or Aleksandar Kovacevic, both unseeded Americans.
Denis Shapovalov won five matches to lift this title in 2025. His wins included victories over Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul and in the final, Casper Ruud. Later in the year, the Canadian also won the Los Cabos Open.
No player has ever retained the Dallas Open. 2026 has seen the 26-year-old play just three matches, winning one of them. Shapovalov reached round two of the Australian Open but lost to Marin Cilic. He's 38th in the live rankings
Rafael Jodar has been much busier this year. This match against Shapovalov is his 15th in 2026 and the Spaniard is chasing his 13th win of the year. The 19-year-old was the losing finalist in January's Canberra Challenger Tour event.
Round two of the Australian Open was reached after winning three qualifying matches to make the main draw. Jodar also had to qualify for this tournament, doing so without losing a set and is a career-high 117th in the live rankings.
We tip Shapovalov to win.
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Denis Shapovalov v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 1.99 |
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1.82 | 1.99 |
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|
1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.72 | 2.04 |
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|
1.74 | 2 |
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar game on 10/02/2026 of the current Dallas Open season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 39.83% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.82.
- Rafael Jodar has a 60.17% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at Bet365.
Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 39.83 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 39.83 % |
| Rafael Jodar | 60.17 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Form
Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Jodar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
7 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Shapovalov is the defending champion.
- Jodar is nearly 80 places below his opponent in the live rankings.
- Shapovalov won nine of his 12 indoor hard court matches in 2025.
- Jodar has won 12 matches this year but only one in the main draw of an ATP Tour event.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Denis Shapovalov begins his attempt to become the first player to win two successive Dallas Open titles. He was in excellent form last year but has made a slow start to 2026. The Canadian has only won one of his three matches.
Rafael Jodar has a 12-2 record but 11 of those wins came either in qualifying matches or on the Challenger Tour. A side bet on this going to three sets could be a winner but our main Denis Shapovalov v Rafael Jodar prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
