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25 April 2024 - 11:30 

- 1/64

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

USA
Darwin Blanch
VS
ATP 305 Spain
Rafael Nadal

Prediction :

Over 16.5

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Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Prediction

Rafael Nadal has won the Madrid Masters more times than any other player. That fact immediately tells you this is a clay court tournament. Nadal takes on wild card Darwin Blanch in the first round of this Masters tournament. The winner will face the tenth-seeded Alex de Minaur who beat Nadal in Barcelona last week. This is only Nadal's third tournament of the year after again sustaining injuries. This is set to be his final year on the tour and he is desperate to stay fit and have a farewell at Roland Garros. Last week saw him win one match before losing in straight sets to de Minaur. He's currently 481st in the live rankings and got into the first round here due to his protected ranking. 

Darwin Blanch received a wild card to play in this tournament. He's even lower than Nadal in the rankings and isn't even in the top 1000. The 16-year-old has only played one ATP Tour event and that saw him lose in round one of the hard court Miami Masters. He has had some success on the ITF tour with a semi-final in a clay court tournament held in Telde. One match this year even saw him beaten by his brother Dali Blanch. This will be a great experience for him but the only way Nadal won't win convincingly if injury strikes again. We go for over 16.5 games to be played. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Darwin Blanch v Rafael Nadal Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
13 1.04
1xbet
12.4 1.03
22bet
12.4 1.03
Betwinner
16 1.01
Check all Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal odds
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Who will win the Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal game on 4/25/24 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Darwin Blanch has a 31.04% chance to win against Rafael Nadal according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 16.
  • Rafael Nadal has a 68.96% probability of winning facing Darwin Blanch ⭐ with odds of 1.04 at Bet365.

Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Darwin Blanch has a 31.04 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Darwin Blanch31.04 %
Rafael Nadal68.96 %

Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Form

Darwin Blanch and Rafael Nadal Last Matches

Darwin Blanch Last matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

20 Apr 2024 - Majadahonda, Singles M-ITF-ESP-11A

Darwin Blanch
0 :  2
Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez

19 Apr 2024 - Majadahonda, Singles M-ITF-ESP-11A

Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
1 :  2
Darwin Blanch

18 Apr 2024 - Majadahonda, Singles M-ITF-ESP-11A

Benoit Torcq
0 :  2
Darwin Blanch

16 Apr 2024 - Majadahonda, Singles M-ITF-ESP-11A

Darwin Blanch
2 :  1
Peter Fajta

11 Apr 2024 - Vic, Singles Qualifying M-ITF-ESP-10A

Dali Blanch
2 :  0
Darwin Blanch

9 Apr 2024 - Vic, Singles Qualifying M-ITF-ESP-10A

Darwin Blanch
2 :  1
Marco Miceli
Rafael Nadal Last matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

17 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Rafael Nadal

16 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

5 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Rafael Nadal
1 :  2
Jordan Thompson

4 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Jason Kubler
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

2 Jan 2024 - Brisbane International

Dominic Thiem
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

17 Jan 2023 - ATP Australian Open

Rafael Nadal
0 :  3
Mackenzie Mcdonald

Darwin Blanch - Rafael Nadal Key Points

  1. Blanch has played one ATP Tour match this year and that saw over 16.5 games played.
  2. Four of Nadal's five matches this year have had over 16.5 games played in them.
  3. Over 16.5 games have been played in all but one of the last six matches played by Nadal on clay.
  4. Blanch reached the semi-finals in his last ITF tournament.
Up to $200 to bet on Darwin Blanch - Rafael Nadal! 

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Our Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

Rafael Nadal continues his latest comeback from injury. He'll want to get matches under his belt and should have few problems against 16-year-old Darwin Blanch. His opponent has shown some good form on clay at a much lower level. His one ATP Tour match saw him win six games. Our Darwin Blanch v Rafael Nadal prediction is for over 16.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

Over 16.5

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Darwin Blanch vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

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