Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Qatar Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Fourth seed Daniil Medvedev has a tricky looking match in round two of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. He faces unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas in this ATP 500 outdoor hard court tournament. Time for our match prediction.
Daniil Medvedev won this tournament in 2023. A win over his Greek opponent will take him into his second successive quarter-final in Doha. The Russian lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime last year after losing the first set. That's the only one of the eight matches he's played in Doha that he's lost.
This year has seen Medvedev win nine of his 11 matches, winning the Brisbane International last month. Round one of this outdoor hard court tournament saw him beat Juncheng Shang in straight sets. That followed two successive defeats.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has only won four of his previous 14 matches against Tsitsipas. On this surface, it's 6-1 to Medvedev with Tsitsipas only winning in Cincinnati four years ago. Six of the last seven matches between these players have included a tie-break, so a side bet on one here could win.
Tsitsipas has won eight of his 11 matches played in 2026. He is yet to reach a singles quarter-final though. Round one of this tournament saw him beat Moez Echargui in straight sets. We tip more than 20.5 games to be played.
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Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.15 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas game on 18/02/2026 of the current ATP Qatar Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 65.14% chance to win against Stefanos Tsitsipas according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.33.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 34.86% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 65.14 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 65.14 % |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 34.86 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
9 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
28 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna
20 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
20 Aug 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open
28 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
8 Jun 2021 - ATP French Open
Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points
- More than 20.5 games have been played in all ten of their previous best-of-three sets matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. At least one has been played in 11 of their previous 14 meetings.
- More than 20.5 games have been played in three of Medvedev's last five best-of-three sets matches.
- Medvedev has played a 7-5 or 7-6 set in five of his last seven matches.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
Stefanos Tsitisipas last reached the quarter-finals in Doha eight years ago. He is 32nd in the live rankings, 21 places below Medvedev. The Greek has had some good results this year but is yet to make it to a quarter-final.
Daniil Medvedev has slipped out of the top ten but has won one tournament this year. Matches between these two players have been dominated by Medvedev but they are often close. Our Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
