ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Seventh seed Alex de Minaur faces 16th-seeded Daniil Medvedev in the quarter-finals of the Shanghai Masters. Can the Australian make it to the semi-finals of this outdoor hard court tournament? Read our match prediction below.
The winner of this match will face either unseeded Arthur Rinderknech or 12th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime.
De Minaur is yet to drop a set in this Masters tournament. His latest match saw the 26-year-old defeat unseeded Nuno Borges 7-5 6-2. A win over Medvedev will see him move up to sixth in the live rankings and ATP Race. He is in great form with nine of his last ten matches being won.
Daniil Medvedev leads his opponent 7-4 in previous meetings. Nine of those were played on hard courts and the Russian has won seven of them. De Minaur has won two of the last three played but both were on clay.
Medvedev has reached the last eight for the loss of just one set. That was in his fourth round match as he defeated Learner Tien. He's bidding to make it into his fourth ATP Tour hard court semi-final of the year, the most recent being in Beijing last month.
Both players are in form and we just favour de Minaur to get the victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 1.5 |
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2.6 | 1.5 |
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|
2.6 | 1.5 |
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2.5 | 1.48 |
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|
2.6 | 1.5 |
|
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur game on 10/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 44.33% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 2.85.
- Alex De Minaur has a 55.67% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 1.5 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 44.33 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 44.33 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 55.67 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
12 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
3 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open
30 Sep 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
4 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open
11 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto
Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Medvedev is 17th in the live rankings, ten places below his opponent.
- Only six players have earned more ranking points this year than de Minaur.
- De Minaur is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
- De Minaur's latest victory took him to 50 for this calendar year.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Only Jannik Sinner has beaten Alex de Minaur in his last nine matches. The Australian completed 50 wins for 2025 when beating Nuno Borges in the last 16. The Australian is yet to drop a set in this tournament.
Daniil Medvedev had to battle hard to get past unseeded Learner Tien in the last round. It's not been an easy year for him and he's 12 places below de Minaur in the Live ATP Race. Our Daniil Medvedev v Alex de MInaur prediction is Alex de Minaur to win.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur game!
When you place a bet on the match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Alex De Minaur , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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